Nottingham
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Family Fun Raceday Sunday 31st May Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Bay Royale is the market favourite and the standout course specialist in the field — crucially, that sole career win came right here at Nottingham, giving it an edge none of its rivals can match. Only two races into its career but already boasting a win and a fourth from those outings, this three-year-old looks well placed drawn in stall one, which research shows is among the better draws at this track. The long absence of 202 days is the one question mark, but the form and course knowledge make it the one to beat.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Absent 202 days (longest in field)
Market favourite (2.62)
TrackLab Insight
Knights Charge arrives here dropping down two class levels from where it won last time out at Lingfield, which is a significant advantage — it beat those rivals, and now faces easier company. Two races, one win, one third-place finish: a clean and promising record for a three-year-old still learning its trade. Trained by Roger Varian, one of the top yards in the country, this horse makes plenty of sense as the main danger to the favourite.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Outflank has finished third in both of its races so far, which speaks to a horse that is consistently competitive without yet finding that extra gear to win. Trained by John and Thady Gosden — one of the most successful yards in British racing — it has solid backing behind it. The draw in stall 11 is the highest in the field, and research shows high draws at this course and distance win only around 1 in 20 races, which is a real disadvantage to overcome.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
This is Cloud Forest's very first race — there is simply no form to go on, which makes it a leap of faith for anyone backing it. What's notable is that its odds have drifted sharply, suggesting the market isn't convinced. Trained by Saeed bin Suroor and ridden by the highly rated Oisin Murphy, the team is strong, but this horse remains the great unknown of the field.
Racecourse debut
TrackLab Insight
At five years old, Liam Mera Kai is the oldest horse in the field and has more experience than most here, but its last run ended in a pull-up at Warwick — a serious warning sign that something wasn't right. The data also shows this horse is best suited to distances of two miles or more, which makes today's mile-and-a-quarter trip look short of ideal. Hard to back with confidence given that last run.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
TrackLab Insight
Five races in and still searching for a first win, Semele has managed just one placed finish from those efforts and has been beaten by 15 lengths or more in recent outings. The form figures — third, fourth, tenth, fourth, fifth — don't suggest a horse on the rise. At 51-1, the market has a fairly clear view of its prospects here.
Mid-range in the market (51.0)
TrackLab Insight
With just one race under its belt — a fifth-place finish at Lingfield — there is almost nothing to go on for Shopaholic. Crucially, today's normal ground conditions are something this horse has never experienced before, adding another unknown into the mix. At 67-1, it's very much a long shot on the available evidence.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Two races, two seventh-place finishes — Barak Warrior hasn't shown much yet and comes into this as one of the outsiders at 101-1. There's no win or place to point to, and the recent form offers little encouragement. Still very young and with time to improve, but this looks a tough ask based on what we've seen so far.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
One race, one sixth-place finish — that's the entire career record for Cliff Danger, which makes it almost impossible to assess with any confidence. Like Shopaholic, it has never raced on normal ground conditions before, so today brings an additional unknown. At 81-1, the market suggests punters aren't willing to take the gamble.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Like Cloud Forest, Zurna makes its racecourse debut today with no form whatsoever to judge it on. Its sire Sea The Moon won the German Derby and tends to produce horses that improve over time and longer distances, which hints this first run may simply be a learning experience. At 101-1, the market is treating it as a complete unknown — which, honestly, is exactly what it is.
Racecourse debut
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£5
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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