K. Healy(7)
·
D. Queally
· 10yo
· 10st 12lb
· OR 116
HeadgearForm
25
Good Value
Wearing blinkersWon 3 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the horse with the best career win rate in the field — winning roughly one in every four races is a genuinely impressive return at this level. The concern is a pulled-up run last time out at Wexford, which interrupts what had been a three-race winning streak, so the question is simply whether that was a blip or a sign.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)Market favourite (4.0)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2025
"John Kirwan was very happy with him in his work this week. I'll ride him in the Hunters' Chase all being well and he's in good order and fresher than he was when fourth two years ago. He beat Con's Roc in a point last time, and with Ryehill winning the Naas hunter chase two weeks ago, the division looks wide open. I'm sure Its On The Line will bring his A-game to Cheltenham, but we beat him at Ballindesk in 2023. 20-2-25"
K. A Murphy(7)
·
D. Queally
· 5yo
· 10st 6lb
· OR 98
HeadgearForm
21
Good Value
Wearing visorWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
A photo-finish second at Tramore last time out — beaten a whisker — shows this five-year-old is in decent form and running with confidence heading into today. At 8.0 odds it sits in the middle of the market, and as the youngest horse in the field there may be more improvement to come, though this jockey-trainer partnership has yet to win together from 15 attempts.
Wearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (27% win rate)Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The editorial tip for this race, and the data backs up why: Lightkeeper has the best record in the field on today's type of ground (three wins from 11 races in normal conditions) and the best record at this distance (two wins from just three attempts over 2m4f). Rated 128 over fences, it is arguably running in a race it is class-superior to, and a second-place finish in this grade at hurdles last year at Bellewstown confirms it can do the job here.
Best record on this ground (3 from 11)Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2024
"He won his maiden hurdle at Galway quite emphatically, but never went a yard at Tramore. He's better than that and hopefully we'll get him back on track soon. 28-10-24"
A third-place finish at Perth 20 days ago is the most recent encouraging sign, and this horse has won roughly one in every seven races across its career. However, it has never won on a right-handed galloping track like Clonmel, which is a consistent pattern worth noting when weighing up its chances here.
Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated in this field by 4lbs, but the form book is sending a different message entirely — three poor runs in a row, and now asked to race again just three days after finishing seventh at Roscommon. That turnaround is unusually quick, and the odds drifting sharply from near-evens to 9.5 suggests punters aren't convinced this horse has anything left to give right now.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (146 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
At 12 years old, this is the oldest horse in the field, and it hasn't raced in nearly five months. The one reason to be interested is that its second-to-last run was a near-miss at this very course, beaten less than a length at Clonmel — so it does know how to run well here. One win from 18 career races is a thin record though, and the long absence adds another layer of uncertainty.
Wearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field who has already won at Clonmel, which is a meaningful edge — course winners often know their way around a track better than rivals meeting it fresh. The problem is two consecutive pulled-up runs, the most recent just 13 days ago at Punchestown, which raises real questions about whether this horse is in the form needed to capitalise on that course advantage.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Thirty-four races is a lot of experience, but only two wins from all those outings means this horse has rarely turned that experience into results. Its record on normal ground — the conditions today — is zero wins from three attempts, which is another obstacle in a race where more fancied horses have stronger claims.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Two falls in recent outings make this a horse you approach with caution, and its last completed result is unknown. The one genuine bright spot in the data is a remarkable record at Thurles — two wins from just three races there — but this race is at Clonmel, not Thurles, and on different types of track Spinning Web has never won.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Fresh (207 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
This horse has been off the track for 207 days — the longest absence in the entire field — and has never won in 10 career races. The recent runs before that layoff included a fall and a distant seventh, so there is very little here to encourage confidence on its return.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The standout data listed placed finishes in recent races, but the actual results tell a different story — 14th and 12th in the last two outings, beaten a long way each time. At odds of 41.0 and with only one career win from 20 races, this horse faces a steep task against more fancied rivals.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.