The market has made this horse the favourite at 4.6, and the editorial verdict singles him out as the one to back, expecting improvement on today's better ground — having never raced on normal conditions before, always on softer surfaces. A third-place finish at Limerick 28 days ago is his best result from five races, and the step up to normal ground is the key question his supporters are betting he'll answer positively.
Never raced on normal groundMarket favourite (4.6)
Tedworth finally got his nose in front at Tramore just 25 days ago — his first win from 15 career races — so he arrives here in the form of his life. The concern is that his record on today's normal ground is poor: zero wins from 10 attempts, with that Tramore win coming on wetter ground. A horse in form, but the ground today may not be in his favour.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Seven races, zero wins, and the jockey is partnering this horse for the very first time today — not an ideal combination for a horse still searching for a breakthrough. He finished 12th and 11th in his two most recent completed runs, and the result from Down Royal ten days ago is unknown, adding another layer of uncertainty. Hard to make a case for him.
Six races without a win, but a runner-up finish at Limerick just 28 days ago suggests this horse is at least knocking on the door. Like several others in this field, she has never raced on today's normal ground, so how she handles the conditions is an open question. A lightly raced six-year-old with a recent near-miss to her name — not without interest at the right price.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field — she landed her single career win right here at Clonmel back in December — which makes her stand out in a race where most runners have never tasted success at this track. She has been running consistently lately, finishing 5th, 7th, and 2nd in her last three, with that runner-up spot just 20 days ago suggesting she is in decent form. The catch is her record on today's normal ground: zero wins from four attempts, with her Clonmel win coming on much softer going.
Three career races, three mid-pack finishes of 7th, 7th, and 11th — and like several others here, has never raced on today's normal ground. The jockey, Darragh O'Keeffe, has been sharp lately (3 wins from 6 in the past fortnight), which is the most positive angle available. Lightly raced enough that improvement is possible, but there's little evidence to go on.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)
Fresh (224 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Carrying the lightest weight in the field, which gives a small advantage in a race like this, but Amron Diamond hasn't raced in 224 days — the longest absence of any runner here. He pulled up last time out at Clonmel, and eleven career races have produced zero wins. A long break and a poor recent run make this a very risky proposition.
Carries lowest weight in fieldAbsent 224 days (longest in field)
The top-rated horse in this field by 5lbs, which sounds impressive until you see recent form of 16th, 7th, and 8th in his last three races. His one career win came at Thurles in November, but today's normal ground is a concern — he has never won on it in three attempts. Hard to trust despite the rating advantage.
Top rated by 5lbsBest career win rate in field (1 in 11)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The interesting angle here is that Old Kenmare has raced at Clonmel twice in the past six weeks, finishing 4th and 8th — so he clearly knows the track. The problem is he has never won here in five attempts, and has never won on today's normal ground either. Course familiarity is a plus, but the record at this venue is a stubborn obstacle.
Eight races and not a single win or place finish — not even close. The last four completed runs have all ended 12th or worse, including being beaten 126 lengths at Cork just over a month ago. Despite a decent official rating, the market has her at 34-1 and the form gives you no reason to argue.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (84 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Eleven years old and still lining up, which says something about the horse's durability if not its winning record — just one win from 14 career races. He pulled up last time out at Thurles 84 days ago, and his jockey has been in good form lately (2 from 3 in the past fortnight), though that may be the most encouraging thing on offer here.
Four races, zero wins, zero places — and crucially, this horse has never raced on today's normal ground conditions, having always encountered softer or muddier surfaces. Whether the firmer going helps or hinders is a genuine unknown. With nothing in the form to grab onto, this is one to watch rather than back.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 40 career races compared to a field average of 11 — and crucially the only horse in this field who has actually won over today's 2m 4f trip. Two wins and 12 places from those 40 races tells you he is competitive without being dominant, but his record at Clonmel itself is a blot: zero wins from 10 attempts here. Today's normal ground does suit him, though.
Only winner at this distanceBest record at this trip (1 from 6)Most experienced (40 runs, field avg 11)
Fresh (126 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Six races, zero wins, zero places — and a recent sequence of 12th, 12th, 9th, 11th, 7th, and 13th that tells a very consistent story, just not the kind anyone wants to see. The standout marker says 'placed in 2 of last 3 races' but the actual finishing positions don't reflect that — there are no places in this record at all. At 41-1, the market has this one firmly filed away.
Fresh (187 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Her one career win came on good ground — the same conditions as today — and she is the only horse in this field with a standout record specifically on this type of surface (1 win from 6 on good ground). The problem is she hasn't raced in over four months, pulled up last time out, and is nine years old. The ground suits her on paper, but she has a lot to prove on fitness alone.
Fresh (137 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Two pulled-up efforts in his last two races, and he hasn't run for nearly five months — that's a lot to overcome in a competitive 19-runner field. Eight races without a win or a meaningful finish, and returning rusty from a long break at 41-1 makes this one very hard to recommend. The data offers almost nothing to work with.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.