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Ayr

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Book Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Ladies Day Handicap Stakes
Starts in
Awaiting result
Speed race · horses carry weights to make it fair About 1.2 miles Ideal conditions Entry-level race 14 runners £4187 prize
Turf track
TrackLab's Top Pick
J: R. Kavanagh(3) · T: I. Williams
20
Strong chance
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
20+ Strong pick 12-19 Solid chance 6-11 In the mix Below 6 Outsider How scores work
1 Tiger
R. Kavanagh(3) · I. Williams · 4yo · 10st 7lb · OR 75
Class Freshness
20
Dropping in class Quick turnaround Won 1 of last 5 Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by a pound and fresh off a Chester win just six days ago, but stepping up two classes here is a big ask. Tiger has a solid record on fast ground (1 from 3) but struggles badly on soft turf and has never won on left-handed galloping tracks like Ayr.
Steps up 2 classes Runs again after just 6 days
J. Hart · E. Whillans · 3yo · 9st 1lb · OR 68
Form Track
10.1
Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
One of few course winners with a victory at Ayr just 19 days ago, and she's clearly building towards something with 1-2-5 across her last three runs. At just three years old she's got scope for improvement, though an 11% career win rate suggests she'll need more time to be reliable.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
S. James · O. Rix · 3yo · 9st 8lb · OR 75
Headgear Freshness
10
Wearing hood Fresh (64 days off) Won 0 of last 5
A. Mullen · I. Jardine · 6yo · 10st 2lb · OR 75
Form Track
9.6
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick despite a dire 4% career win rate and no success on any ground type — the bet is built entirely on recent form and fitness. He's placed in 2 of his last 3 runs including a second at this track 50 days ago, but his 0-from-7 record on good ground is a glaring problem for this going.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
D. Costello · S. & Ed Crisford · 3yo · 9st 6lb · OR 73
Headgear Form
8.0
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Best career win rate in the field at 20% (1 from 5) with a fresh victory at Wolverhampton 41 days ago, and he's only three years old so still improving. The worry is that first trainer-jockey pairing and a long gap since that last run, but raw ability looks superior to most here.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
B. Garritty · M. & David Easterby · 4yo · 9st 11lb · OR 70
Form
6.4
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Recent form is alarming: 10th at York just two weeks ago after struggling badly there before that. The one bright spot is a love of soft ground (1 win from 3), but he's never won on good turf and the data is thin overall for a four-year-old still finding his feet.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
L. Edmunds · D. O'Meara · 3yo · 9st 7lb · OR 74
Form Track
6.4
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Just broke through for a maiden win at Carlisle 60 days ago at the 17% win rate — one of the better conversion rates in here. But he's 0-from-3 on good ground and hasn't raced in two months, so the layoff combined with unsuitable going is a double problem.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
4 Geo
P. Mulrennan · J. Goldie · 4yo · 9st 11lb · OR 70
Headgear Form
4.9
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Three straight top-3 finishes including a third here at Ayr just 12 days ago shows she's in form, but she's 0-from-6 on good ground and has never won on right-handed sharp tracks. For a filly winning roughly 1 in 10 races, the going here is working against her.
3 straight top-3 finishes
S. Kirrane · M. Dods · 6yo · 9st 10lb · OR 69
C&D Headgear
4.6
Won at this course & distance Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field with a victory over this track and distance, and he has a genuine 16% win rate on good ground. But he hasn't won in over two years and looks to be fading, finishing 4th and 3rd at Ayr recently — consistency without spark.
Has won over this course and distance
J. Nicholls(3) · I. Jardine · 3yo · 8st 13lb · OR 66
Headgear Form
1.5
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Placed in 2 of his last 3 runs and well-suited to this distance (20% win rate at 1m1f–1m2f), but he's just a three-year-old with 9% career win rate and is 0-from-3 on good ground. Like many in this field, the going is fighting against him despite decent recent form.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
J. Sullivan · R. Mike Smith · 4yo · 9st 3lb · OR 62
Headgear Form
0.6
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Loves this ground (40% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Worst recent form in the field: beaten badly twice at Ayr in the last three weeks before a win at Musselburgh four weeks back. He has a 40% win rate on good ground which is excellent, but the trend is downward and his jockey-trainer combination has never won together.
Best record on this ground (2 from 5)
G. Fairley · K. Scott · 3yo · 9st 0lb · OR 67
Headgear Form
0.6
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced but deeply worrying: zero wins, zero places from three career races with finishing positions of 9-10-6. This filly has been beaten out of the frame in every outing and is running in the wrong direction; data is too thin and form too poor to back confidently.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
10 Natzor
B. McHugh · L. Quinlan · 6yo · 9st 1lb · OR 60
Headgear Form
0.4
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Six-year-old in freefall with three poor runs on the board and a 6% career win rate — one of the weakest in the field. He's never won on good ground and only manages to win at his specific distance roughly 18% of the time; this is a horse running out of ideas.
Best record at this trip (2 from 11)
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