The market favourite at 4.0 despite drifting hard from 1.1, suggesting some doubt creeping in. Third at Chepstow last time out shows ability, but he's never raced on normal ground and has no wins from two attempts — this is unproven territory for a horse that John Butler's yard has backed heavily.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (2 career races)Market favourite (4.0)
The highest-rated horse at OR 67 and backed at 5.5, but recent form is sliding — sixth place just 15 days ago was the worst result yet, and she's only placed once in four attempts. The Easterby yard carries strong credentials with 49 wins from 487 races, but this filly is moving in the wrong direction.
Shows a glimmer of promise with a second-place finish at Thirsk but has slipped back since, finishing sixth most recently. Never raced on normal ground and pairing with Jake Dickson for the first time today, so there are multiple question marks despite being joint second favourite at 6.0.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)
Finished sixth in both races and hasn't raced for six weeks, another horse taking on normal ground for the first time. The hood suggests there may be issues to manage, and two months between runs is a long layoff for a 2-year-old still searching for form.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (2 career races)
The second-highest rated horse in the field at OR 66 and the only one with genuine experience from five races, including two third-place finishes that show consistent run-in ability. Tim Easterby and Sean Kirrane form a strong partnership with 86 wins together, making this the closest thing to a safe pair of hands despite a 44-day layoff.
A study in mechanical consistency: fourth place in all three races, always within 7 lengths or so but never finding the breakthrough. The lowest-rated runner here by some margin (OR 55) and stuck in a rut at Pontefract, now trying fresh ground with an untested partnership.
A complete unknown making his racecourse debut from draw 2, which is the only advantageous feature here — the low draw carries a 12% win rate at Ayr over this distance. With zero form to lean on, this is pure guesswork at best.
One race, one defeat by 13 lengths — Michael Dods is sending this debutant straight back out after a sobering introduction just eight days ago. The odds have drifted from 1.1 to 23.0, a clear signal that the yard and the market see very little in this one right now.
A debut runner with no form whatsoever and an untested trainer-jockey combination (0 wins from 1 race together). The low draw in slot 1 offers a small statistical edge at this course, but that's the only argument in his favour.
The worst-backed horse in the field at 101.0, and justifiably so — finished sixth just seven days ago and seventh before that, with no wins or places from two races. The market has effectively given up on this one, and the data suggests they're right to do so.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (2 career races)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.