Ayr
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Sunday Roast At Western House Hotel Handicap Stakes
Starts in
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Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
This is the most experienced horse in the race by far (92 career runs versus a field average of 28) and holds a strong course record at Ayr with 3 wins from 14 starts. However, his recent form is poor—he's finished 5th-6th-3rd at this track over the last month—and he's never won when the ground isn't firm or on the good side.
Most experienced (92 runs, field avg 28)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2022
"He won twice for us as a juvenile and then left for a season before joining us in July after a Carlisle win for Rebecca Menzies. He's in the form of his life and has won twice more for us, rising from 61 to 76 in the handicap. He's far from straightforward but we know his quirks. He must walk to the start and goes in the stalls without a jockey. He was carried badly left and promoted to third in the stewards' room at Windsor last Thursday. He stayed down in the area and ran another good race on Saturday when fourth at Ascot, which more than paid for his trip. He thrives on his racing and could be a Bronze Cup hope at Ayr next week. 12-09-22"
TrackLab Insight
Harb heads the ratings and boasts the best record on normal ground in the field (3 wins from 10 starts), but he's racing again after just 7 days following a fourth-place finish at Hamilton. His form is patchy—11th at York last week—and he's never won on this left-handed galloping track despite 61 career races, which is a significant concern.
Best record on this ground (3 from 10)
Runs again after just 7 days
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2021
"Has been working well and will run soon, 18-04-21"
TrackLab Insight
South Parade has won 3 times from 32 races but both victories came at Thirsk, a different track entirely; she's winless on good or standard ground at other courses. Her recent third at Musselburgh shows some form, but she carries modest 133lbs and has struggled on undulating terrain.
Among the more experienced (32 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Harry Mole is the market favourite at 6.0 and has strung together 3 straight top-3 finishes—including a second at Thirsk and Bath—but he remains winless from 7 career races. His raw talent is visible in his placement record, but he hasn't broken through yet, making him a potential improver but an unproven commodity at this level.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Market favourite (6.0)
TrackLab Insight
Hi Lord sits second in the ratings and has placed in 2 of his last 3 races, including a third at this track 26 days ago on normal ground. The draw in stall 1 gives him an edge with the low draw showing a 12% win rate here, and his form suggests he's competitive at this level despite a modest 13% career win rate.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
This is the only horse in the field with back-to-back wins—he took the last two races at Ayr and Beverley before his 10th-place stumble. His 3 wins from 14 races at five furlongs is the standout record at this exact distance, and he's the only recent winner in the entire lineup.
Best record at this trip (3 from 14)
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Startling has placed in 2 of her last 3 races including a close second at Ayr just 12 days ago, beaten by only 0.5 lengths. She sits joint-third in the ratings and is one of the form horses, but the high draw in stall 13 works against her at a track where the low draw dominates, and she's winless on normal or firm ground.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
Keep The Gold is winless from 10 career races with just 3 places to show for it, and his last run here 33 days ago ended in 9th place. At 19.0 odds and carrying the second-lowest weight, he represents poor value and offers no evidence he belongs in a competitive sprint.
Winless from 10 career races
TrackLab Insight
Supremissy has the best career win rate in the field at 20% (1 win from 5 races), and she broke through with a win at Musselburgh just 47 days ago. However, she's a 3-year-old with minimal experience, hasn't raced since that victory, and the long layoff raises questions about readiness and form.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
TrackLab Insight
Royal Duke carries the lowest weight in the field (121lbs) but has managed only 3 wins from 31 races and his last six outings show nothing better than a third place. His recent form at Ayr—5th, 6th, 5th—is consistently poor, and he's winless on good-to-firm or good-to-soft ground despite multiple tries.
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Midnight Lir has won only twice from 32 races (6% win rate) and has managed just four consecutive fourth-place finishes across his last three runs—consistency without breakthroughs. His last win came almost two years ago, and he's never won at Thirsk or on left-handed galloping tracks despite numerous attempts.
Among the more experienced (32 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Summerstorms Dream is the lowest-rated horse in the field and winless from 11 career races, though she did place second at Ayr 19 days ago. She's never won at this track across 8 attempts and her record shows sporadic form without the consistency needed to threaten a competitive handicap.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
TrackLab Insight
Falcon Queen is a 3-year-old filly with zero wins and zero places from 7 races, making her the least proven runner here. She's never raced on normal ground before—only softer surfaces—so this is uncharted territory, and her recent form at Ayr has been poor (8th, 6th, 9th across three visits).
Never raced on normal ground
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