Tiger

The real story here is Tiger's sweet spot on the track. At distances between a mile and three furlongs and a mile and four furlongs, he's a different animal — he's won 1 of his last 6 races over that range, a 17% win rate. That's a meaningful edge for a horse that wins overall just 1 in every 10 times. His recent form, too, shows he's capable on his day: in his last six runs he's come second, third, and fourth multiple times, which suggests he's regularly getting into the mix. His latest outing, just a day ago, didn't go to plan — he finished eighth — but that's horse racing. What matters is that Williams has a horse that knows how to win, has won recently, and seems to thrive at specific distances. That's the foundation every trainer looks for.