Yarmouth
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Sky Sports Racing 415 Handicap
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the most consistent horse in this field — she wins 1 in every 3 races and has finished placed in almost every run of her career, with her best record coming over exactly this trip (3 wins from 4 races at 5f). She also has a strong record on dry ground like today, winning half her races in these conditions. The only real question is whether a 208-day absence blunts that form, but the bookmakers clearly don't think so.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)
Best record at this trip (3 from 4)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Market favourite (2.88)
TrackLab Insight
One of only two horses in this field who have actually won at Yarmouth before, and he did it just 32 days ago — the form couldn't be fresher or more relevant. However, he has never won on dry ground in five attempts, which is a direct contradiction of what today offers, and he draws in stall 13 where horses at this course and distance have a zero per cent win rate from a large sample. Fascinating puzzle: course form says yes, draw and ground say no.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
A horse with a decent career record of 3 wins from 12 races, but the ground is a significant problem here — it has never won on dry conditions in five attempts. The jockey-trainer partnership hasn't clicked yet either, with no wins from their six races together. Hard to fancy at 17.5 given those facts.
Mid-range in the market (17.5)
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the field by some margin and drawn in stall 1, which is the best place to be at Yarmouth over 5f — low draws win at twice the rate of anything beyond stall 10. The concern is a 234-day absence, the longest of any runner here, though the odds have shortened sharply suggesting someone is confident about the return. Wins roughly 2 in every 5 races on dry ground like today, so if the break hasn't blunted the edge, this is the one to beat.
Absent 234 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
At 44 races, this is one of the most experienced horses in the field, but the record on dry ground is a glaring issue — zero wins from nine attempts in these conditions, which is exactly what's on offer today. The odds have drifted from 10.0 to 13.0, suggesting the market shares that concern. Fresh from a run 17 days ago but struggling to find the winner's enclosure when the ground dries out.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2023
"He's a lovely chestnut we bought from Richard Hughes's yard and he has done nothing but please us. He's won his last two races for us at Newcastle and Chelmsford and, having arrived with a mark of 78, will be starting this season on 94. Although that's 16lb higher I think he's definitely capable of improving again. He was quite quirky when he came but we've ironed out his problems and I think we can go even further with him now as he's a much stronger individual. He finished down the field in a 5½f race at Chantilly on Tuesday, but hopefully he'll improve on that and he may go to all-weather finals day at Newcastle. The only problem is that the sprint there is over 6f and he didn't get that trip last year. That's not to say he won't now that he has bulked up, but I would prefer it if the race were over 5f. 22-03-23"
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a considerable distance — 56 races compared to the field average of 28 — but with only 3 wins to show for it, making this the hardest horse in the race to win with. Most damning of all, it has never won on any variety of dry or good ground across an extensive career, and finished 14th at Ascot just 12 days ago. The experience counts for little when the conditions have never suited.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average
Most experienced (56 runs, field avg 28)
TrackLab Insight
Racing from stall 11 — a draw that almost never produces winners at Yarmouth over 5f — and has never won on dry ground in seven attempts, which is the exact condition on offer today. All three career wins have come on standard or softer surfaces, so today's fast ground looks all wrong. Hard to make a case for this one.
Mid-range in the market (12.5)
TrackLab Insight
Was beaten by just a fifth of a length at Nottingham 17 days ago, so the recent form is genuinely eye-catching for a horse that many will overlook. The bigger problem is a complete absence of wins on good ground — zero from 11 attempts — and today's dry conditions fall squarely into that category. A horse that keeps getting close but looks to need different ground to actually win.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
Won just 17 days ago at Nottingham, so arrives here in the best recent form of almost anyone in this field — and importantly, he has an extraordinary record when the ground is similar to today, winning 4 from 5 races on good ground. The worry is that his record on the slightly faster dry conditions specifically is less clear-cut, and his odds have drifted from 8.0 to 11.0 since the market opened. Still, fresh form and a love of conditions close to today's makes him very interesting.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Finished 14th at Newcastle just 47 days ago — beaten nearly 20 lengths — which is a dramatic reversal from the decent form shown before that run. The record on dry ground is also blank, with zero wins from three races in these conditions. Drawn in stall 12, near the high-draw graveyard at this track, there are too many questions to get excited here.
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field, which is an advantage in a race like this, and has been running consistently of late with back-to-back third-place finishes. The problem is a blank record on dry ground — zero wins from six races in these conditions — and all three career wins have come on standard surfaces. The weight helps, but the ground looks against her.
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
The other course winner in the field alongside Almaty Star, and unlike that rival, Forager actually thrives on dry ground — winning 3 from 7 races in these conditions, the best dry-ground record of any horse here. The worry is a 190-day absence and a last run that was a heavy defeat, and the odds drifting from 17.0 to 22.0 reflects that uncertainty. But stall 3 is a good draw and the conditions suit — worth more respect than the market is giving.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
Racing again just four days after finishing 17th — beaten over 23 lengths — at Ascot, which is an unusually quick turnaround after such a heavy defeat. Has never won on dry ground in six attempts, and stall 2 is the only positive to cling to. At 41.0, the market is saying plenty.
Runs again after just 4 days
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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