Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (196 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the editorial pick, Luna Run is making her debut for trainer Harry Derham after wind surgery — a procedure that can unlock real improvement in a horse. The jockey-trainer partnership has a strong shared record with 119 wins from 535 races together, giving confidence in the combination. She carries the second-lowest weight in the field and, despite 0 wins from 10 races on normal ground, the wind surgery makes her form hard to take at face value.
Finished second, beaten just over a length, last time out at Huntingdon, which is the most encouraging piece of recent form among the fancied runners. At only 5 years old, this horse is still developing, but six races without a win since September 2024 does raise the question of whether close is as good as it gets. The jockey is having a quiet spell — just 1 win from 12 in the last fortnight — which is worth noting.
Six races, no wins, and the last two outings produced a fourth beaten 56 lengths and a sixth beaten 16 — not the form of a horse about to break through. Raced just 20 days ago, so fitness is not a concern, but the recent performances don't inspire confidence at this level. The trainer Jamie Snowden is in decent nick with 2 from 5 in the last fortnight, which is the most positive angle here.
Among the fancied runners (7.4)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"She was second on her bumper debut and probably wants softer ground. We ran her in the spring, so she's just come back in from a break, and she'll stay in bumpers this season. 05-11-25"
Carries the joint-heaviest weight in the race and sits 13lbs above the field average, which is a real ask for a horse that has won just once in 12 races. That sole victory came at Fontwell, and recent runs include a fall and a distant sixth, so the burden of top weight makes this a tough assignment. A 7lb claimer jockey is on board to help offset the weight, but the trend is not pointing upward.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Fresh (148 days off)Trainer in formWon 1 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in every 6 races, and the trainer Fergal O'Brien has won 4 from 17 in the last two weeks — the strongest recent form of any trainer here. The concern is a 148-day absence, and the horse pulled up last time out before that break, so fitness on return is a genuine question mark. If the trainer's current form rubs off, this could outrun its 15-1 price.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)Trainer in best form (4 from 17 last 2wk)
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 19 races against a field average of 9 — and she has never once won, which is a hard fact to look past. Four places along the way show she can get involved, but recent runs suggest she is drifting further from contention, finishing sixth and fourth in her last two. A hood and tongue strap are in use, but the record speaks for itself.
A 7-year-old with no wins and no places from 5 races — and the recent finishing positions of 5th, 8th, 9th, 8th and 9th show a horse that is consistently getting beaten well. The jockey-trainer combination has yet to win together in 16 attempts, which does nothing to improve the outlook. At 17-1, there is no obvious reason to think today will be different.
Eight races in with no wins and a distant eighth last time out, Jessie Jump Jet heads into this race in modest form. This is also the first time this jockey and trainer have worked together, which adds another unknown. Wearing cheekpieces may sharpen her up, but the evidence so far gives little reason to expect a sudden leap forward.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The standout fact here is that Abbey Law has a record of 1 win from 3 races on normal conditions — the best ground record in the field for today's surface. She stays well and the data flags long distances as a sweet spot, which suits this 2m5f trip. Recent form is hard to read with incomplete results, but the combination of the right ground and the right distance makes her genuinely interesting.
The least experienced horse in the field with just 5 races under her belt — well below the field average of 9 — and the only run of real note was a second place at Uttoxeter. She pulled up last time out and has been absent for over four months since, so there are more questions than answers heading into this. Without a win to her name, she faces a significant step up against more seasoned rivals.
Only 2 races to her name, making her the joint-least experienced horse in the field, and both efforts have been well-beaten — seventh and eleventh. What's more, she has never raced on normal conditions like those on offer today, so this is genuinely unknown territory. There simply isn't enough evidence to make a case for her, and the bare form says she has plenty to find.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Fresh (349 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The longest-absent horse in the field by a wide margin — off the track for nearly a full year — and returns without a single win or place from 4 career races. Her best finish to date has been a fifth, and she has never raced at Warwick before. Asking a horse with no form to bounce back after 349 days off is a big ask, and the market's 26-1 assessment reflects exactly that.
The lowest-rated horse in the field — 13lbs below the average — and carries the lightest weight as a result, which is the one practical advantage she has. Seven races without a win or a place, and back-to-back distant finishes at Huntingdon don't suggest a turnaround is coming. On ratings and form, she looks up against it in this company.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.