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Mistral Blue

There is something quietly stubborn about Mistral Blue. An 8-year-old with 14 races under its belt, this horse has found ways to get its nose in front twice and pick up a place five more times — a record that tells you it is competitive without being flashy. That works out to winning roughly 1 in every 7 races overall, which is modest but not unusual for a horse operating at this level.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Blue Bresil
Mother
Mistral Reine
Owner
Make Mine A Double Partnership
Rating
98

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
14
Career races
2
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What is interesting is where those wins have come from. The first arrived at Doncaster in December 2023, and the second — more recently — at Hereford in April 2025. Both came on normal ground conditions, and that preference is significant: on standard ground Mistral Blue has won 2 from 9 races, a win rate of 22%, or roughly 1 in every 4 and a half. Put it on anything wet or firm, and the results dry up. Ground conditions matter enormously in racing, and Mistral Blue is a horse that needs the track to be just right.

The trainer is Fergal O'Brien, based at Withington in Gloucestershire — a yard that has sent out 90 winners this season alone, which tells you this is a professionally run operation with real firepower. Connor Brace has been the regular jockey, partnering Mistral Blue in 8 of its 14 races for 1 win together at a rate of around 1 in every 8 rides — a working partnership rather than a dominant one.

The recent form makes for interesting reading. That Hereford win 13 months ago sits in the middle of a sequence that also includes a second place and a fifth, with two runs showing no finishing position recorded — likely non-completions. It is the profile of a horse that can produce on its day but does not always get there. One more thing worth noting: Mistral Blue has raced seven times at Class 4 level — one step below the top tier — without winning once. The two victories have come elsewhere, which suggests this horse might actually perform better when the company changes. Raced just one day ago, Mistral Blue is clearly still active and still being asked the question.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 9 starts (22%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Huntingdon in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 May
5th
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
7 Dec
DNF
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
11 Nov
2nd
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
10 Apr
🏆 Won
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
26 Mar
4th
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
12 Mar
DNF
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
13 Dec
DNF
Doncaster
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
27 May
3rd
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
23 Apr
7th
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 14 runners
29 Jan
6th
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode
Fern O'Brien Current Jockey
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Huntingdon
Galloping
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 7 Dec 0%
hereford 3 1 win, 2 other 10 Apr 33.3%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 13 Dec 50%
Fakenham
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 13 Nov 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Apr 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 other 4 May 0%