Roscommon
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www.roscommonracecourse.ie Handicap
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All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The editor's pick and second favourite in the market, Sun Soldier draws well in stall 5 — the prime low-draw position at a course where low numbers carry a clear statistical edge. He was only beaten 1.2 lengths at the Curragh last time out, and stepping back down to a more straightforward track after that encouraging comeback run makes this a logical step forward.
2nd in the market (6.4)
TrackLab Insight
The market made her favourite but punters have since thought twice, sending her out to 5.0 after opening at much shorter. Drawing stall 18 in an 18-runner field is about as bad as it gets at Roscommon, where horses drawn in the top half of the field win less than 4% of races at this trip — and her sole career win came on heavy, muddy ground, not the normal conditions on offer today.
Market favourite (5.0)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Stall 6 is the best low draw in the field — and at Roscommon this distance, low draws (1-6) outperform every other part of the stalls by some margin. However, 10th at Limerick last time and an 18th at the Curragh before that suggest the form has fallen away sharply since winning at this course last summer, and there is a real question about whether that level has been rediscovered.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The most interesting angle here is that Andrew Slattery trains and rides this horse himself — an unusual arrangement that suggests real familiarity between horse and handler. He has the best record in the field on today's normal ground conditions, winning 2 from 5 on that surface, though a mid-to-high draw in stall 11 is not ideal at this course.
Best record on this ground (2 from 5)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The most compelling course record in the entire field — three wins from just four races at Roscommon is a remarkable return, and no other runner can point to anything close to that level of course form. The worry is that his last three runs have been poor, including an unplaced effort here most recently, and at nine years old he carries a high draw in stall 15 that works against him statistically.
Course specialist (3 wins from 4 here)
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in contention with just 10 career races, Chester Nimitz is still finding his feet in competitive company. His one win came at Navan last October, but he has not raced since a 5th at Leopardstown 26 days ago and races from a high draw in stall 14, where the numbers are firmly against him at Roscommon.
Relatively inexperienced (10 career races)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
One of the most experienced horses in the field at 31 career races, but that experience has yielded just two wins — roughly one every 15 races — which puts her among the lower-achieving runners here on a pure conversion basis. She has been off the track for 52 days and her last run was a 9th, with the form before that offering little to get excited about.
Among the more experienced (31 career races)
TrackLab Insight
A mid-draw in stall 9 is the most favourable position in this field, sitting in the sweet spot between the worst of the high draws and the surprisingly underperforming low draws. Her best form has come over a slightly longer trip and on softer ground than today, and she has never won on the good ground that is on offer — a notable blank across eight attempts.
Among the fancied runners (10.0)
TrackLab Insight
The standout stat here is a record of 2 wins from 3 races at this exact trip — no other horse in the field comes close to that ratio over eight furlongs. The concern is straightforward: she has not raced for over five months and has never won on the normal ground conditions on offer today, blanking across seven attempts on that surface.
Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
TrackLab Insight
Her last win came nearly two years ago, and three runs since returning this spring have produced a 17th, an 8th, and a 13th — there is simply nothing in the recent form to suggest a turnaround is imminent. Drawing stall 3 gives her a low-draw advantage at Roscommon, but that is about the only thing working in her favour right now.
Among the more experienced (27 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 59 career races against a field average of 24 — and still earning his keep at nine years old with 9 wins and 25 places to his name. However, a 13th last time out and a worst-in-field draw in stall 17 at a course that is unkind to high draws makes it very hard to find a case for him here.
Most experienced (59 runs, field avg 24)
TrackLab Insight
Despite drawing the coveted stall 1 — the lowest possible position in the field — the recent form makes grim reading: 15th, 15th, and 18th across his last three runs, with one of those margins exceeding 100 lengths. He has not won in nearly three years and has never won on the normal ground conditions on offer today, blanking across nine attempts.
Among the more experienced (32 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Rated 79, she is one of the highest-rated horses in the field, yet the market has largely ignored her at 21.0 — that gap between official rating and public confidence is striking. A 15th-place finish at Leopardstown last time out explains the cold shoulder, and the high draw in stall 13 at a course where that section of the field wins just 4% of races does her no favours.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
Eight years old and operating off a rating of 75, San Aer has made 53 career appearances without suggesting the winning formula comes easily — just four victories across that long career. An 11th at Limerick last time and a high draw in stall 16 at a course that punishes high draws severely makes this a tough ask.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
On paper, this horse has the best career win rate in the entire field — winning roughly 1 in 4 races is a standout number when most rivals here win closer to 1 in 10. The problem is that a 16th at Leopardstown last time represents a sharp step backwards, and the trainer-jockey combination here has yet to register a win together from 13 attempts.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Your pick
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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