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Shoot To Kill

Nine wins from 60 races across nine years of racing — that is the story of Shoot To Kill in a nutshell. A horse that has done enough to stick around at the top levels of the sport, winning roughly 1 in every 6 races across a long career, but one that has consistently kept its handlers guessing. Trainer Noel C Kelly, based out of Draperstown in County Derry, has been candid about the puzzle: this is a horse that works brilliantly at home but does not always bother to bring that ability to the track. When it does, though, it is genuinely impressive — and with Kelly's yard already sending out 14 winners this season, the operation behind the horse is clearly in good form.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Dandy Man
Mother
Nancy Astor
Owner
We Never Cash Out Syndicate
Rating
72

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
60
Career races
9
Wins
15%
Win rate
avg ~10%
43.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The partnership with jockey Darragh Keenan is where Shoot To Kill has looked most dangerous. Together they have won 4 races from 11 — that is more than 1 in every 3, a remarkable ratio that tells you Keenan understands this horse. When they first linked up at Lingfield Park back in November 2021, Keenan noticed something telling: Shoot To Kill tends to idle when hitting the front, which suggests there may be more in the tank than it always shows. Keep it out of the lead until the right moment, and the horse is a different animal.

On normal ground, Shoot To Kill really comes alive — 3 wins from 13 races at 23%, which works out to winning roughly 1 in every 4 tries, comfortably its best surface. The target is clear: 6-furlong races on fast, dry summer ground. That is not a vague plan; it is the precise set of conditions that suits this horse best. Its last win came at Gowran Park in August 2025, nine months ago now, and the six races since have not produced a victory. But this is not a horse in freefall — it placed third as recently as its last-but-one outing, and it raced just yesterday, meaning the team clearly believe there is another win in it yet.

What makes Shoot To Kill interesting is not the stats alone — it is the tension between what the horse clearly can do and what it actually chooses to do. "Plenty of talent," as one trainer put it after a win at Dundalk. The frustration is real, but so is the upside. At nine years old, with the right draw and a fast summer track, do not rule out one more moment of brilliance.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 13 starts (23%)
Course specialist at Lingfield Park: 3 wins from 11 starts (27%)
Effective partnership with Darragh Keenan: 36% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 9 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
1M1F – 1M2F
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 May
3rd
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners
28 Mar
13th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft_To_Heavy · 14 runners
27 Feb
DNF
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 19 runners
31 Oct
7th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 11 runners
17 Oct
4th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners
4 Oct
4th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft_To_Heavy · 15 runners
4 Sep
7th
Laytown
7f – 1m · Standard · 13 runners
13 Aug
🏆 Won
Gowran Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
16 Jul
2nd
Killarney
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 13 runners
20 Jun
11th
Down Royal
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
36.4%
Win rate
4/11
Won / Rode
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Won / Rode
Cian MacRedmond
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Hugh Horgan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Rory Mulligan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
16 2 wins, 2 seconds, 4 thirds, 8 other 27 Feb 12.5%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
11 3 wins, 2 thirds, 6 other 29 Mar 27.3%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 7 Jan 25%
Leopardstown
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 5 Jun 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 1 second, 2 thirds, 1 other 18 Oct 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 11 May 33.3%
Chepstow
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 28 Jul 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
2 2 other 20 Jun 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
2 2 other 14 Sep 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Mar 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 seconds 16 Jul 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 win 9 Aug 100%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 win 13 Aug 100%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Laytown
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 7 May 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Apr 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 30 Jul 0%