Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The standout ground angle here: the best record in the field on normal conditions with two wins from six attempts, making today's surface a genuine positive. Ran third at this exact course just 15 days ago, so she's fit, in form, and knows the track — which makes the shortening odds to 6.8 easy to understand.
The market favourite at 5.7 despite having only one win from 12 races — but the recent form justifies the confidence: second, third, third, second across his last four outings, all close-up finishes. The worry is his record on normal ground (zero wins from three tries) and on big galloping tracks like Newmarket (zero wins from five).
Fresh (585 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The most intriguing unknown in the field: four races, never finished worse than second, but hasn't set foot on a racecourse for nearly 18 months — the longest absence of any horse here. He's also never raced on normal ground, so everything about today is a step into the unknown, however talented he may be.
Never raced on normal groundAbsent 585 days (longest in field)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"He holds a pretty high level of form from last summer. He's had a good winter break and his mark would typically get him into the Britannia already. We're not going to rush him and I think he wants fast ground, so Ascot could suit him well. 07-04-25"
Fresh (237 days off)Won 3 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field by some distance — three wins from just five races, which is 60%, compared to most rivals winning one in five or fewer. She's also the editorial pick and has the best record at this trip of any runner, with two wins from four races over 7f. The question is whether six months off the track will blunt that sharpness.
Best record at this trip (2 from 4)Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesLoves this ground (29% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The course specialist in this field — two wins from six races here at Newmarket — which stands out when most rivals have little or no winning form at this track. He's also the best horse on normal ground among the leading fancies, with four wins from 14 attempts on this surface, and ran fifth here just two weeks ago so is fit and ready.
Course specialist (2 wins from 6 here)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2023
"He didn't get the trip on softer ground and a stiffer track at Cheltenham in the Triumph Hurdle trial, having won on his hurdling debut at Wetherby. We were intending to run him in the Wensleydale at Wetherby before Cheltenham but the meeting was abandoned. He's decent and loves good jumping ground. He'll have a break now and come back in the spring when we can hopefully find some good opportunities for him and rack up two or three wins. 30-11-23"
The lowest-rated horse in the field, carrying the lightest weight, and running again just seven days after finishing second at Haydock — that quick turnaround could work in his favour since he's clearly in good form right now. Two seconds in a row is encouraging, but he has zero wins from five attempts on normal ground and has never won on this type of course in 10 tries.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldRuns again after just 7 days
Wearing hoodFresh (210 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One of the higher-rated horses in the field alongside Darkness, but his last run was a distant 15th at Ascot and he hasn't raced in seven months. His one win on normal ground from three tries is a positive, but the market has drifted him out to 15.5 despite a decent rating — few are convinced.
Wearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Has won at York — one of Britain's toughest tracks — which shows genuine quality, but has since drifted badly in the market from 15/1 to 27/1 after a poor run at Ascot just two weeks ago. He also has zero wins from three attempts on normal ground, and this left-handed course suits him less than some rivals.
Stepping up in classWearing cheekpiecesWon 3 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Drops two classes compared to his recent level, which on paper looks like a boost, but his record on normal ground is a serious concern: just one win from 11 attempts. He won at Lingfield two months ago before finishing ninth here last month, so the most recent Newmarket evidence isn't encouraging.
Won at this course & distanceFresh (274 days off)Won 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Rated higher than most rivals here but has drifted out to 29/1 in the market, suggesting punters aren't convinced despite the decent number on paper. Returning after nine months off following a poor run at this very course, and has no wins on normal ground in three attempts — that's a real concern today.
Won at this course & distanceWearing visorWon 1 of last 5Won here 2 timesWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 44 races compared to a field average of 17 — but that experience tells its own story: the market has pushed him out to 27/1 after drifting sharply. His record on normal ground is the key red flag: zero wins from 13 attempts, which is hard to ignore.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (164 days off)Won 2 of last 5Won at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Has drifted dramatically from 19/1 out to 32/1, and it's not hard to see why — he has zero wins from four attempts on normal ground, which is exactly what's on offer today. Back after five months off, and this is the first time this jockey has ridden him, adding more uncertainty.
Drawn in stall 13 — the highest draw in the field — which is a significant disadvantage at Newmarket over 7f, where low draws win far more often. Recent form is poor with two last-place finishes, and like several rivals, he has no wins on normal ground from three tries.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.