Newmarket
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All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in this field by 3lbs, which means the official handicapper thinks it's better than everything else here on paper. It also has its best record at this exact distance, winning 2 of 6 races over 6 furlongs. The problem is three poor runs in a row leading into this, so it needs to find form quickly.
Top rated by 3lbs
Best record at this trip (2 from 6)
Trainer Quotes
May 2025
"He's a half-brother to Rogue Lightning. He won a novice under a penalty at Doncaster last month and that form looks strong. He might go to Newmarket next for a valuable handicap a week on Saturday. He's got a wonderful attitude and was very resolute at Doncaster - he really put his head down and battled, which is a trait you love to see. He was very laid-back last year and green and backward at Windsor when he made his debut, but the penny has really dropped now. He's done a bit of work with Invictus Gold and I hope he can be a nice flagbearer for the yard throughout the year. 14-05-25"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The form horse of the field right now — a win and a second place in its last two races, and crucially it has the best record on today's normal ground of any runner here, winning 2 of 7 races on similar conditions. The jockey-trainer combination has also clicked well together, with 83 wins from their partnership. This is a horse in form on a surface it demonstrably handles.
Best record on this ground (2 from 7)
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this the favourite at 5.4, despite it drifting in price from 4.5 — meaning punters have been backing away from it since markets opened. It's been placed twice in its last six races but hasn't won any of them, and its record on normal ground conditions is a concern: zero wins from three attempts on a surface like today's. Hard to see what justifies favouritism given that.
Market favourite (5.4)
TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of course winners in this field, having won here at Newmarket before — a big plus on a track where familiarity counts. Its price has shortened dramatically from 15.0 to 8.5, suggesting someone thinks it's worth a bet today. The worry is a flat record on normal ground: zero wins from four attempts on conditions just like these.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, sitting 5lbs below the field average — which means the official rankings place it well below most of its rivals today. It carries the lightest weight as a result, which helps, but it hasn't finished better than fifth in its last five races and hasn't raced for 73 days. Its price has shortened significantly from 15.0 to 9.5 despite all that, which is the one puzzling detail worth watching.
Lowest rated, 5lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Comes in off the back of a win at Kempton 38 days ago, which gives it some momentum, but its record on today's normal ground is a genuine problem: zero wins from six attempts on similar conditions. It also draws stall 1, which is in the low-draw bracket that historically produces the most winners at this course over this trip. Form is okay, but the ground stats are hard to ignore.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Finished third in its last race, which is a decent sign of current wellbeing, and it has three career wins to its name — not the worst record in this field. Its odds have drifted out to 19.0, suggesting the market isn't convinced. There's nothing in its standout data that makes it particularly well-suited to this specific race.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial tip for this race, but there's a major question mark hanging over it — this horse hasn't raced in 212 days, the longest absence of any runner in the field. It does carry the best win rate here at roughly 1 in 4 races, and its second place at this very course last year shows it can handle the track. Everything hinges on whether seven months off has left it ready to run.
Absent 212 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
TrackLab Insight
Has won and finished second in its last two races, so it arrives here in the best form of its career. The standout risk is that it has never raced on normal ground before — all of its runs have come on different surfaces, so today is a genuine unknown. With only seven career races to its name, there's still plenty we don't know about this horse.
Never raced on normal ground
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just three career races, which makes it the biggest unknown of the lot. It won its latest race at Yarmouth 18 days ago, but before that it had been well beaten in two outings — so the sample size is tiny. If that win was the start of something, it could surprise; if it was a fluke, it almost certainly won't.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The standout course specialist in this race — three wins at Newmarket from 19 attempts, more course victories than anyone else in the field. It won here as recently as last November, and the editorial team have it as second choice. The serious red flag is today's ground: this horse has never won on normal conditions in five attempts, doing all its damage on softer surfaces.
One of few course winners (3 wins here)
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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