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Arantes Nascimento

At five years old, Arantes Nascimento is a horse that quietly accumulates placings without setting the world alight — but there are signs he is finding his best form at exactly the right moment. Across 25 races, he has won twice and finished in the places 12 times, giving him a win rate of around 1 in every 12 races. That is modest, but the finishing positions tell a more encouraging story: this is a horse that keeps turning up, keeps competing, and rarely runs a bad race.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Charm Spirit
Mother
Flame Out
Owner
Dare To Dream Racing
Rating
74

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
25
Career races
2
Wins
8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
48%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His best form comes over distances between seven furlongs and a mile, where he has won 2 of his 14 races at those trips — a win rate of 14%, or roughly 1 in every 7, which is comfortably better than his overall record. It suggests the yard have worked out what suits him, and they are pitching him at those trips for good reason.

Michael Attwater trains him out of Epsom in Surrey, and this has been a productive season for the stable — 27 winners already, which speaks to a yard in good nick. Arantes Nascimento's regular partner in the saddle is Ryan Sexton, who has ridden him in 8 of his 25 races and won once together. That is a 12% win rate with Sexton aboard — 1 win from 8 — which is meaningfully better than the horse's overall record and hints at a partnership that works.

The timing of his career wins is worth noting. His first came at Newcastle in October 2023, and his most recent — crucially — was just six weeks ago at Kempton Park in April 2026. He raced again only yesterday, and his last six runs read 2-1-7-2-2 (most recent first, excluding one blank), which means five of his last six completed races have produced a win or a place. That is a horse who has rediscovered something. Whatever Attwater has been doing with him, the results suggest it is working. A horse that wins at Class 5 level — the everyday, bread-and-butter tier of British racing — is not going to trouble the sport's biggest occasions, but for an owner watching a horse find its feet and start firing, the last six weeks will have felt very satisfying indeed.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 May
2nd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
8 Apr
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
7f – 1m · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
18 Mar
7th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 13 runners
26 Feb
DNF
chelmsford
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
19 Jan
2nd
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
2 Jan
2nd
chelmsford
7f – 1m · Standard · 9 runners
17 Dec
2nd
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
1 Dec
5th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 12 runners
25 Jul
6th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
2 Jul
2nd
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Kieren Fox Current Jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Tom Kiely-Marshall
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
6 1 win, 2 seconds, 3 other 11 Jan 16.7%
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 8 Apr 33.3%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 2 other 21 Apr 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 2 Jul 0%
chelmsford 2 1 second, 1 other 26 Feb 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Sep 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 second 29 May 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 11 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 third 13 Jun 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 17 Dec 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 second 19 Jan 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 6 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 second 16 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 3 May 0%