Newcastle
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1h 49min
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All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The standout performer in the field: 6 wins from 35 races (17% win rate), a 30% win rate on standard ground, and a 31% win rate at a mile. His recent form has dried up, but his profile is built for precisely these conditions — normal ground at Newcastle's distance — and he's the complete opposite of the drifting odds.
Best record on this ground (3 from 10)
Best record at this trip (4 from 9)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
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TrackLab Insight
The market favourite has run three times in the past two months without placing, extending a poor streak at Beverley and Redcar. He does have genuine form on standard ground and at Newcastle specifically (3 wins from 19 starts), but current form suggests he's struggling to find his rhythm right now.
Market favourite (6.5)
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TrackLab Insight
Second-favourite in the market despite just 2 wins from 24 races, and his recent form shows nothing but close misses and distant defeats — sixth at Doncaster 18 days ago being his best effort. The 8% win rate is respectable at Class 5 level, but there's no immediate form spark here.
2nd in the market (6.8)
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The selection has won just 2 of 34 races, but his three straight top-3 finishes — including a narrow second at Newcastle 39 days ago — show genuine form right now. He's 6lbs above the field average and thrives on standard ground at a mile, though the alarming pattern of not winning on anything firmer than normal conditions is a real concern here.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"He's £1,500 very well spent as he's earned nearly £32,000 for us. He's a funny horse with loads of talent and, although he's only won once, he's kept bringing in good prize-money, so I accept it. You have to humour him and do things on his terms - I think he nearly shocked himself when he won at Newcastle this month. 29-10-25"
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TrackLab Insight
He matches Mr Mistoffelees' headline record (2 wins from 36 races) and shares those three straight placings, but a critical difference emerges: Harry The Rogue has zero wins on standard ground from 14 attempts, making him poorly suited to today's conditions despite being the editorial second choice. His best form comes on yielding ground, which he won't find here.
3 straight top-3 finishes
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TrackLab Insight
One of the few course winners here with 2 Newcastle victories, and he's suited by the distance and good ground conditions — but his recent form reads as poor, including a 12-length defeat at York just 39 days ago. The nearly two-month gap since genuine competition makes it hard to trust him now.
One of few course winners (2 wins here)
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TrackLab Insight
A 3-year-old still hunting his first career win after five attempts, racing with zero experience on normal ground — this is genuinely uncharted territory for him. The fact he's racing again so quickly after finishing fifth suggests the trainer is experimenting rather than targeting a specific opportunity.
Never raced on normal ground
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TrackLab Insight
Placed in 2 of his last 3 races and 4 wins from 52 attempts (8% win rate), but his pattern shows he needs fast, dry ground to win — and there's nothing here to suggest he'll break through on standard conditions. The 1-length defeat at Doncaster 18 days ago is his best recent effort but on better ground.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
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TrackLab Insight
The most successful horse in this field by a distance — 7 wins from 54 races (13% win rate) — but he's never run on normal ground before, making this an unknown quantity. Recent form at Newmarket shows promise (second by 0.2L), yet pairing with M. P. Sheehy for the first time adds another layer of uncertainty.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
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TrackLab Insight
A 4-year-old with zero wins from 10 attempts who has been absent for 103 days — the longest break in the field — and has never raced on normal ground before. The odds of 41.0 reflect an outsider struggling to find any narrative to support him.
Never raced on normal ground
Absent 103 days (longest in field)
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TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field at 12lbs below average with just 2 wins from 33 races, showing zero consistency and carrying the longest odds (71.0) for good reason. His one strength — 17% win rate on standard ground — is completely nullified by recent form that reads as poor across the board.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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