The market favourite at 4-1 and the editorial pick, with a second-place finish at Cork last time out — beaten just half a length — making this the most eye-catching piece of recent form in the field. This is a 3-year-old taking on older horses, which is unusual, but carries a joint-top rating of 74, the highest in the race alongside Riyami. Zero wins from six races so far, but the step up in trip is the key angle here — the editorial verdict singles this horse out specifically for being upped in distance, and the recent Cork run suggests it's ready to go one better.
J. O'Gorman(7)
·
P. G Fahey
· 5yo
· 8st 12lb
· OR 54
HeadgearForm
20
Good Value
Wearing hoodWon 2 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Won at Down Royal just 12 days ago, making this one of two horses in the field arriving off a recent win — and this one comes with the best record at this sort of distance, winning 50% of races over 2m or further. Despite a rating 9lbs below the field average, the form is lively and the ground profile is at least partly encouraging, with wins on good-to-yielding ground on record. The question is whether a horse that has never won on a left-handed galloping track can reverse that trend today.
Still looking for a first win from five races, but a second-place finish at Gowran Park three weeks ago — beaten under two lengths — is a genuine positive and the best recent piece of form in this horse's short career. Trainer Henry De Bromhead has been in strong form, winning 7 from 25 in the past two weeks, which is the best win rate among trainers represented in this field. The big question is whether a horse with no wins yet can handle a step up to this demanding 2m 1f trip.
Wearing blinkersJockey in form (5 wins in 14 days)Won 2 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The data shows a win rate of 67% at distances between 1m 6f and 2m, which is an eye-catching number and suggests this horse genuinely thrives when asked to stay. The drawback is a record of zero wins from 3 races on ground softer than good — today's slightly soft conditions are a real concern given that pattern. Jockey Colin Keane has ridden 5 winners in the past two weeks and shares a partnership with this trainer that has produced 59 wins together, so the team is strong even if the ground is a worry.
Arrives here with a win at Roscommon just 23 days ago, making this horse one of only two in the field to have won their last race — and the freshest winner of the two. The concern is that the record shows zero wins from 4 races on soft ground and zero wins from 6 races on left-handed galloping tracks, both of which apply here today. In-form is good, but the conditions ask questions this horse hasn't answered before.
Only four career races to go on, and this horse has never raced on slightly soft ground before, so today is a step into the unknown in terms of conditions. A third-place finish at Cork three weeks ago is encouraging — beaten under three lengths — and this horse does have course experience at Limerick, though that run ended in 11th. Too lightly raced to know much, and the unknown ground adds further uncertainty.
Carries the lowest weight in the field, which gives a slight physical advantage, and a third-place finish at Ballinrobe a month ago — beaten two lengths — is the most encouraging recent run from a horse that is still learning the ropes at three years old. Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien has been in excellent form with 7 wins from 34 in the past two weeks, the joint-best in the field alongside Henry De Bromhead's yard. No wins yet from five races, but the step up to this longer trip is uncharted territory worth watching.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
One win from 22 races is a thin return, and that sole success came nearly three years ago at Cork — a very long time to wait for a repeat. More problematically, Quiz Test has never won on soft ground in 8 attempts and has no wins from 7 races on left-handed galloping tracks, which is exactly the type of course Limerick is. Experience is not a shortage here, but the conditions look to be stacked against this horse.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance, with 51 races under its belt — the average runner here has raced 19 times. However, Bynx has never won on soft ground in 8 attempts, never won on yielding ground in 11 attempts, and has zero wins from 20 races on galloping tracks of either variety. Today's conditions and course profile match exactly the pattern where this horse fails to win. Plenty of racing experience, but the data points firmly away.
Wearing cheekpiecesJockey in form (5 wins in 14 days)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Carries one of the joint-highest ratings in the field, yet the market has almost entirely dismissed this horse at 29-1. That suspicion looks well-founded: Riyami has never won on soft, yielding, or good ground — all four career wins came on the artificial surface at Dundalk, which is a very different test to what's on offer here. The jockey has been in sharp form recently (5 wins from 18 in the last two weeks), but this trip to Limerick on slightly soft ground looks like the wrong conditions entirely.
Jockey in best form (5 from 18 last 2wk)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
One of the most experienced horses in the field with 39 races, but three wins from those races is a modest return, and recent form reads 8th, 5th, 4th across the last three outings — always in the picture but never winning. The ground profile is peculiar: this horse has recorded wins on heavy, soft-to-heavy, and yielding-to-soft ground, but has zero wins from 7 races on soft ground specifically — the category today's conditions fall closest to. Hard to trust on that basis.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
At 10 years old, Ellaat is the oldest horse in the field and carries a rating 9lbs below the field average — the joint-lowest alongside Our Lucky Lady. A second-place finish at Ballinrobe two weeks ago shows there is still life here, but the record is clear: zero wins from 8 races on left-handed galloping tracks and zero wins from 9 races on good ground, with soft ground also blank in 4 attempts. First-time jockey partnership today adds another variable on an already difficult profile.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Five races, zero wins, zero places — and a recent sequence of 9th, 8th, and 14th that offers nothing to build on. This horse has never raced on slightly soft ground before, adding uncertainty to an already thin profile. Straightforwardly the least accomplished horse in the field based on the data available.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The standout stat here is a record of 2 wins from 5 races at this trip — by far the best record at 2m 1f in the entire field. With a career win rate of roughly 1 in 6, this is also the most prolific winner in the race on paper, which makes the 26-1 price genuinely surprising given the rating is also among the highest in the field. The concern is recent form: three consecutive finishes of pulled up, sixth, and sixth suggest this horse is not arriving in great shape.
Best record at this trip (2 from 5)Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Drawing stall 1 is the best position at this course and distance based on historical data, where low draws produce the most winners — but that advantage feels wasted here. Loyal Touch has finished 9th, 10th, and 11th in its last three races, beaten a combined 57 lengths, and the jockey-trainer combination has never won together in 7 attempts. Hard to make a case despite the favourable draw.
This horse has not raced for over two years — 753 days since its last run — making it by far the longest absentee in the field. Ten career races have produced zero wins and zero places, and the rating of 49 is the lowest in the race, 14lbs below the field average. There is simply no data here to suggest this horse can be competitive on its return from such a lengthy absence.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below averageAbsent 753 days (longest in field)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.