Limerick

The editorial verdict singles him out as a horse Ohmali can beat again, having met at Leopardstown recently. Java Wood has never raced on slightly soft ground, and his record on right-handed galloping courses is zero wins from five attempts — but the notable upgrade here is the booking of Colin Keane, who has won 5 from 23 rides in the past two weeks and represents a significant step up in jockey quality.

Finished third at this very track 46 days ago, which gives her a genuine recent course reference that most rivals can't match. However, her two career wins have both come on fast indoor surfaces, and she has zero wins from seven attempts on good ground or softer — today's slightly wet conditions look against her.

The only horse in this field who has won at Limerick before — one win from two races here — which is a meaningful edge in a 19-runner field. She won at Gowran Park just over two months ago to show she's in form, though she's never raced on slightly soft ground and has a poor record on left-handed galloping tracks, which is a concern given that describes this course.

Four of his five career wins have come at Dundalk — a completely different surface and track from Limerick today. He's never raced on slightly soft ground and has zero wins from seven attempts on right-handed galloping courses, which is exactly what he faces here.

Absent for 237 days — the longest layoff of any horse in this field — and arrives with zero wins or places from three career races. The trainer and jockey partnership is a strong one, winning roughly 1 in every 9 races together across a large sample, but there is very little racecourse evidence to work with here.

Never raced on today's slightly soft ground, which is a genuine unknown for a horse with 15 career races under his belt. He also has a poor record on right-handed galloping courses — zero wins from nine attempts — and Limerick fits that profile, making this a tough ask.

Finished 22nd and 19th in his last two starts at the Curragh, beaten by enormous margins both times — those are the most recent form figures in the field. He has zero wins from six attempts on left-handed galloping tracks, which is what Limerick offers, and nothing in his recent work suggests a reversal of fortune is coming.

Carries one of the highest ratings in the field but the market has completely abandoned her, drifting to 41-1. Back-to-back 15th-place finishes are hard to look past, and with jockey Seamie Heffernan yet to win in 13 rides over the past two weeks, there is little here to inspire confidence.

The form data tells a stark story: this horse was beaten by 83 lengths at Navan in its last run, over 200 days ago, and has not won in 14 career races. Returning from nearly seven months off without any recent encouragement in the form book makes this an extremely difficult horse to support.

Finished 13th at this very course 46 days ago, beaten nearly 20 lengths, and the two runs before that were similarly distant. Never raced on slightly soft ground, and the overall picture is of a horse who has looked well below this level in recent outings — the 34-1 price tells its own story.

The least experienced horse in the field with just two career races, both ending in double-figure finishes at Roscommon. He's never encountered slightly soft ground and has given no indication yet of the ability needed to compete in a 19-runner field like this.

Second in the market at 7.2 despite a win rate of just 1 in every 28 races — that's a significant mismatch between price and record. His sole win came on the artificial surface at Dundalk, and he has zero wins from eight attempts on good ground and zero from five on right-handed galloping tracks like Limerick today.

The most experienced runner in the field by some distance — 54 career races compared to a field average of 19 — and carries the lightest weight as the lowest-rated horse, which gives a small theoretical edge in a contest like this. The problem is he has never won on soft ground and has zero wins from 12 attempts on right-handed galloping courses, so the conditions today look squarely against him despite two recent thirds suggesting he's in reasonable form.

Four races, four blank results, with finishing positions of 9th, 9th, 12th, and 13th telling you this horse hasn't troubled the scorer once. Never raced on slightly soft ground and has no obvious reason in the data to suggest today will be different.