Out On Friday

The win rate sits at around 1 in every 8 or 9 races (12%), which is modest enough, but conditions matter enormously with this horse. On normal ground, that figure jumps sharply — 6 wins from just 21 races, meaning it wins nearly 1 in 3 on a good surface. That is a significant difference, and it tells you exactly what kind of day to pay attention. Stick it on wet or firm ground and it is a different animal entirely.

Distance is another piece of the puzzle. Over the middle-to-staying trips of a mile and six furlongs up to two miles, Out On Friday has won 4 from 21 races — roughly 1 in 5. That is where it is built to perform, and the yard have generally kept it in those races. Its most striking stat is at Fairyhouse, where it has won 2 from just 5 visits. Winning 40% of your races at one track is the kind of number that makes punters circle it every time the entries come out — that is not luck, that is a horse that genuinely suits the track.

Wesley Joyce has ridden it in 13 of those races for 2 wins together, a win rate of around 1 in 7 (15%) — slightly above the horse's overall average, suggesting they work well enough as a partnership. The yard has had only 1 winner this season so far, which puts the operation in modest territory, but Out On Friday remains active — it raced just one day ago — and its last win came at Roscommon in May 2025. The recent form reads 11-15-13-2-4-6, so it has been out of the winner's enclosure for six races now and has finished down the field in the last three. But a horse with a 40% course record at Fairyhouse and a near 1-in-3 win rate on good ground is never entirely written off.