Jasmine Affanalis

What makes the picture a little complicated is her partnership with regular jockey Luke McAteer. The two have been paired together seven times without a win, and notably, her one career victory didn't come with McAteer aboard. That's not necessarily a damning fact — plenty of factors influence a result — but it's the kind of detail a curious observer might file away.

Her recent form tells a story of inconsistency: working back from her latest run, the sequence reads 2-5-7-10-1-2. The win and a runner-up finish are in there, sandwiched around some disappointing efforts, suggesting she can produce her best on the right day without quite stringing it together over a series of races. She raced just one day ago, so she's clearly being kept busy by trainer David Marnane, whose yard in Bansha, Co Tipperary has been in decent shape this season with 16 winners on the board. A trainer firing at that rate tends to know when a horse is ready to run, which makes her continued appearances worth watching. Whether another win is coming depends on Jasmine Affanalis finding again what she found at Tipperary — and doing it at the trip she clearly prefers.