The pattern is clear when you examine the numbers closely. On normal ground conditions, Autumn Twist becomes a different prospect entirely, winning 4 of his 10 races (a 40 percent win rate), compared to the lean pickings elsewhere. At the middle distances—races around 1m1f to 1m2f—he has won 1 from 3 attempts. Those are the ingredients of his profile: a horse that thrives when the going is standard and the track sits at the right length. Daniel King, his most frequent saddle partner, has ridden him to 2 wins from 8 races together, a 25 percent win rate that outpaces his overall record and suggests genuine rapport.
Denis Gerard Hogan's yard in Cloughjordan, Co Tipperary, has been firing in the winners all season with 54 to their name, but Autumn Twist remains a work-in-progress rather than a star. His recent form dips and climbs—a win last time, but before that a 9th place and a 6th—which is the signature of a horse that gets his day but cannot yet string consistency together. What matters, though, is that he knows how to win. The task now is finding more days like last week at Killarney, where every element fell into place.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killarney Sharp |
3 | 2 wins, 1 other | 20 Aug | 66.7% |
| Bellewstown Sharp |
2 | 1 win, 1 second | 4 Jul | 50% |
| Cork Galloping |
2 | 1 third, 1 other | 5 Apr | 0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 15 May | 0% |
| Limerick Galloping |
2 | 1 third, 1 other | 10 Jun | 0% |
| Clonmel Sharp |
2 | 1 second, 1 third | 11 Sep | 0% |
| Listowel Sharp |
2 | 2 other | 25 Sep | 0% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 13 Mar | 0% |
| Galway Tight |
2 | 2 other | 30 Jul | 0% |
| Ballinrobe Sharp |
1 | 1 win | 23 Jun | 100% |
| Punchestown Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 28 Apr | 0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
1 | 1 other | 15 Feb | 0% |