Killarney

The best career win rate in the entire field — winning roughly 1 in every 7 races — and she arrives here on the back of a win at Wexford just 31 days ago, making her the most in-form horse in this race. At 10 years old she is the eldest in the field, but age clearly has not blunted her edge. The only flag is that today's slightly soft ground is different from what she has won on, but her recent momentum is hard to ignore.

Returning after a 135-day break, which is a significant absence and puts a question mark over fitness heading into a competitive 18-runner field. The two runs before today's race both produced sixth-place finishes by wide margins, so recent form offers little encouragement. The one positive in the data is a decent record on conditions close to today's ground, but he needs to find more than he has shown lately.

Among the least experienced runners in this large field, with only nine career races to his name compared to the field average of 15. His sole win came on faster ground, and his record on conditions similar to today is a blank — zero wins from four attempts on ground that suits. Finished seventh by 48 lengths at Wexford just two weeks before his last run, which makes today's task look steep.

Winless from 11 career races — the only horse in the field alongside Coillte M C G, Brave Endeavour, and Uptaurintop who has never reached the winner's enclosure. He is also returning from a 221-day absence and fell at Killarney on his last visit to this course. There is very little in the data to suggest today will be the day that changes.

One win from 21 races is a thin return for a nine-year-old with this much experience, and the most recent run at Cork ended in sixth, beaten over 11 lengths. The interesting note is that his sole career win came on soft ground, which at least gives today's conditions a tick. However, the jockey and trainer have never won together in nine attempts, which is another headwind.

One win from 12 races and a run at Killarney last year that ended in a fall — this is a horse carrying more question marks than answers into today. Like Rusheen, he has never raced on slightly soft ground, and his record on soft conditions is also a blank. The odds drifting out to 21.0 tells you the market has little faith.

The longest absentee in the field by a considerable margin, having not raced for 259 days — nearly nine months away from the track. One win from 20 races is already a thin record, and coming back cold into an 18-runner chase on a day where her last three finishes read 11th, 4th, and 14th makes this a very tough ask. The one angle in her favour is an unexpectedly strong record on soft ground, but fitness must be the overriding concern.

Has the best record in this field on ground described as slightly soft — winning once from three attempts on those conditions — which at least gives her a relevant edge for today. The last two runs, however, produced a pulled-up and a seventh-place finish, and she has been off the track for 133 days. At 41.0, the market sees a horse whose recent form does not back up what the ground stats suggest.

The oldest horse in the field at 11 years old, and the recent form makes for difficult reading — eighth at Cork last month, beaten over 42 lengths. The one bright spot is her jockey Darragh O'Keeffe, who is the most in-form rider in this race, winning 4 from 13 in the past two weeks. Whether that partnership can conjure something from a horse whose recent performances have been well off the pace is the key question.

The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 37 races compared to a field average of 15 — but that experience has not translated into recent results, with his last six runs all finishing in the bottom half. He is returning from a 112-day break and his last two outings saw him finish 12th on both occasions, beaten by enormous distances. At odds of 81.0, the market has all but written him off.