Livio has never raced before, but this is no ordinary first-timer — the five-year-old won a race in France before being snapped up by Ireland's most powerful jumping trainer, W P Mullins, which tells you plenty about how the team rates this horse. Paul Townend, the stable's number one jockey, is in the saddle, a pairing that has produced over 500 winners together. The market opened with Livio as favourite, though the odds have since drifted significantly — worth watching to see where they settle.
Racecourse debutMarket favourite (3.45)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"He won a bumper in France and looks like one who will appreciate soft ground. He looks more of a stayer than a speed horse at this stage. 17-11-25"
The editorial verdict picks Hi Ho Idaho as a genuine threat to the favourite, and there is logic to it — this horse has finished second and third in its only two races, showing consistent jumping experience that some of the more fancied runners here simply don't have. However, Hi Ho Idaho has never raced on slightly soft ground, so today's conditions are an open question. At 5.5, the market clearly respects the chance, and the form of placing in both hurdle races to date is a solid foundation in a wide-open contest.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Wearing tongue strapJockey in form (4 wins in 14 days)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Splendid Fellow is the top-rated horse in this field by a significant margin — 23lbs clear of the average — and is trained by Henry De Bromhead with Darragh O'Keeffe aboard, a jockey who has been in outstanding form with four winners from his last 13 rides. The five-year-old's form shows a horse gradually climbing the ladder — fourth, third, then second — and a first win looks overdue. This is a horse with strong claims.
Top rated by 23lbsJockey in best form (4 from 13 last 2wk)Trainer in best form (2 from 15 last 2wk)
Only two races in, Barnpark is one of the least experienced horses in this field, but the form shows a horse finishing third and then fourth — competitive without yet threatening to win. Today's slightly soft conditions are an unknown quantity, as Barnpark has never raced on this type of ground before. Trainer Gavin Cromwell is a respected name, but the yard has drawn a blank in its last 23 races over the past fortnight, which is a sobering run of form.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Glenroyal has the best win rate of any horse in this field — three wins from 11 races, roughly one in every four — and arrives having won back-to-back races before taking a seven-month break, which is the longest absence in the field. The horse has a strong record on soft ground, winning two from three on that surface, which suits today's conditions well. The key question is whether a lengthy lay-off has dulled the edge that made this horse so impressive last autumn.
Absent 210 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
State Pension has a record that is easy to overlook but hard to dismiss — one win and placed finishes in every single one of its four races, which is a level of consistency most horses in this field can't match. The concern is that the most recent run, a fifth at Fairyhouse beaten 14 lengths, was noticeably below those earlier efforts. With the odds drifting significantly from an early price, the market is clearly not convinced this is the right day for a return to form.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Lemmy Caution brings the combination of Gordon Elliott's yard and Jack Kennedy in the saddle — a pairing that has produced 352 winners together — which immediately makes this horse interesting despite a winless record. Two third-place finishes in the last four races show the horse is competitive, though the most recent run was a sixth at Cork beaten over 34 lengths, a sharp step backwards. If that blip can be forgiven, the pedigree of the team around this horse gives it genuine claims at 15.0.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (128 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
With 19 races on the clock, Ask The Bookie is by far the most experienced horse in a field that averages just five races per runner — and yet a first win has never arrived. The nine-year-old's last three runs all produced fifth-place finishes, beaten a long way each time, and the odds of 41.0 suggest the market sees no reason to think today will be different. At this stage of a career with no wins and a consistent pattern of near-identical results, it is hard to make a case.
A. O'Sullivan(7)
·
W. J Burke
· 6yo
· 11st 4lb
· OR 100
FreshnessForm
1.5
Fresh (81 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Thirteen races without a win is a difficult record to look past, and Happy Me's recent form — 14th last time out after a modest run before that — does little to suggest the wait is nearly over. The horse has never raced on slightly soft ground, adding an unknown element to an already uncertain profile. With a jockey-trainer combination that has produced just one win from 12 races together, the ingredients for a breakthrough aren't obviously in place.
Drumconnor Hill makes its racecourse debut today with absolutely no form to assess, so there is genuine uncertainty about what level this horse operates at. Bred by Poet's Word out of a Kayf Tara mare — both known for producing horses that stay well and handle testing ground — the breeding at least fits today's slightly soft conditions and the 2m 4f trip. At 34.0, the market is cautious, but debut runners in this sort of race can occasionally spring a surprise.
Four races without a win or a place finish, and the most recent run produced a 14th place beaten over 123 lengths — that is a hard result to explain away, even in a competitive field. The run before that was a fourth at Limerick, which looks far more encouraging by comparison, so the Cork performance may need to be ignored. At 34.0, the market is sceptical, and it is difficult to argue strongly against that view.
Shire Star has never raced before, so there is genuinely nothing to go on beyond the breeding — by Berkshire out of a Sadler's Wells mare, which hints at a horse that could handle a test of stamina over this sort of trip. Without a jockey listed in the field data and at odds of 81.0, the market is treating this as a complete unknown. Debut runners can surprise, but there is no evidence here to work with.
One race, one ninth place beaten 88 lengths — that is the entire career record for King Maxios, making this one of the thinnest profiles in the field. There is almost nothing to go on from a form perspective, and the odds of 81.0 reflect that uncertainty honestly. The tongue strap fitted today suggests the team are trying to find some improvement, but it is hard to know what to expect.
Two races, no wins, no placed finishes, and a jockey-trainer combination yet to win together from ten attempts — Lucky Vick arrives with very little in its favour on paper. The horse has also never raced on slightly soft ground, so today's conditions are an unknown. At 101.0, this is firmly at the tail end of the market.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (102 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Danalii's recent record makes for bleak reading — the last two runs produced a fall and a pulled-up, and the best finish across four career races is a ninth place. At odds of 126.0, the longest price in the field, the market has given a fairly clear verdict. Hard to find a reason to get excited here.
Three races, three finishes outside the top seven — Friends Of Barry has yet to show anything close to winning form, with the most recent run producing a tenth place, beaten over 60 lengths. Today's slightly soft conditions are uncharted territory for this horse, adding another question mark to an already thin profile. At 101.0, the market is firmly of the view that a turnaround is unlikely.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (3 career races)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.