Goodwood
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Edward Bulmer Natural Paint Handicap
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
Crimson Spirit has placed in two of his last three races, showing signs of a horse returning to form, and a 3rd at Newmarket last month was an encouraging run against decent company. The concern is that his record on anything other than fast, dry ground is poor — he's won three from four on firm conditions but has struggled badly on slower surfaces, and today's slightly wet ground looks like it could work against him. At 13.5 in the market, there are more convincing options.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Trainer Quotes
Jun 2025
"He ran really well on his reappearance at York. He's a lovely, big, scopey gelding with lots to look forward to as the season progresses. He handles any track, he's versatile and he's a fun horse who should be winning more races. We're looking at Salisbury for him on Sunday. 11-06-25"
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TrackLab Insight
Oliver Show is the second-shortest price in the market at 7.4, but that confidence is hard to square with a run of form that includes a 14th-place finish at Newbury last time out and no win in his last six races. He has shown an excellent record on slower ground in the past, winning twice from three attempts on soft conditions, which today's slightly wet surface could play to. But at six years old, with form this patchy, punters will need to take that market position on faith.
2nd in the market (7.4)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"He was meant to come back for the Lincoln but got stuck in Bahrain, where he was completely outpaced over six furlongs in January. He could go to the Guineas meeting if he gets back in time, then maybe go for this month's Spring Cup at Newbury. 02-04-26"
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TrackLab Insight
The editorial nap and the most interesting angle in this race — Kisskodi is rated 5lbs below the field average, meaning he carries less weight than most rivals, and his overall record of 4 wins from 14 races (roughly 1 in every 3 and a half outings) shows a horse that delivers results regularly. A 3rd at Southwell last month suggests he's fit and ready, and drawing stall 1 is the prime position at Goodwood over 7 furlongs based on the course's strong low-draw bias. The question is whether today's slightly wet ground suits, but the weight allowance and draw make him a genuinely compelling case.
Among the fancied runners (8.5)
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TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 6.8, Mister Bluebird brings two things to the table that no other horse here can match: he has won over this exact course and distance before, and he has won on soft ground at a 50% rate from six such attempts — making today's slightly wet conditions ideal for him. At eight years old, he is by far the most experienced horse in the field with 46 career races under his belt, and a near miss at Musselburgh last time out suggests he's close to peak fitness. The big negative is a low stall 2 draw, which is the sweet spot at Goodwood at this trip.
Has won over this course and distance
Most experienced (46 runs, field avg 18)
Market favourite (6.8)
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TrackLab Insight
Philanthropist arrives here on the back of a win at Yarmouth just 31 days ago, making him one of the most recently-successful horses in the field and adding momentum to his case. The four-year-old has a solid overall record — winning nearly 1 in every 4 races — and the cheekpieces he wore at Yarmouth appear to have sharpened him up. Stall 10 puts him in the mid-draw bracket where Goodwood's data is less favourable, but a horse in form can overcome that.
Among the fancied runners (9.6)
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TrackLab Insight
Al Arbeed is one of the least experienced horses in this field with just 8 career races, and the record so far — one win from those eight outings — doesn't inspire confidence against more seasoned rivals. Five consecutive runs without a win, and a 10th-place finish at Newmarket last time, suggest he's still finding his feet. The blinkers are on for the first time here, which sometimes sharpens a horse's focus, but that's the main reason to take an interest.
Relatively inexperienced (8 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field is the elephant in the room here — Shiplake hasn't raced for 129 days, which is a significant question mark heading into a competitive 15-runner race. Before that break, two wins in a row at Southwell showed real promise, and the draw in stall 8 suits in a race where low numbers have a clear advantage at this course and distance. The worry is that the 13-length beating at Ascot on the horse's only run this season suggests something may not be quite right.
Absent 129 days (longest in field)
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TrackLab Insight
Solar Acclaim is one of only a handful of horses in this field who has actually won at Goodwood, and that course experience on this tight, undulating track genuinely matters. The five-year-old has a solid overall record of five wins from 20 races — roughly 1 in every 4 — but an 11th at Chester and a 21st at Doncaster in recent outings suggest he's not firing on all cylinders right now. The course form is real though, and that's more than most of his rivals can offer.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
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TrackLab Insight
Named as the editor's second pick, Walson's Law arrives here in reasonable form — a 3rd at Ascot just 14 days ago showed he's ready to run his race. He has a solid record at today's 7-furlong trip and is drawn in stall 13, which sits in the mid-range where the data is less favourable at Goodwood. The slight worry is that he has yet to win on wet or standard ground, and today's conditions may not play to his strengths.
Mid-range in the market (11.5)
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TrackLab Insight
The standout stat for Morte Point is a remarkable record at today's 7-furlong trip — three wins from four races at this distance, which is the best record in the field over the course of a mile or less. The problem is that his two most recent runs have produced finishes of 11th and 21st, suggesting he's out of form at the moment. Stall 14 also puts him in a middle draw where the data shows a significantly lower win rate than the low-numbered stalls at Goodwood.
Best record at this trip (3 from 4)
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TrackLab Insight
The data labels Metal Merchant as having the best record on today's ground type in the field, but that masks a sobering reality — one win from four attempts on slightly soft ground is hardly a ringing endorsement. His last three finishes of 20th, 12th and 10th tell a story of a horse badly out of form, and this is the first time the jockey and trainer have worked together, which adds another unknown. Hard to make a case for him at 34.0.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
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TrackLab Insight
The Dragon King has finished 5th in three of his last four races — consistent, but in the wrong direction. His best form has come on fast, dry ground, winning two from five in those conditions, and today's slightly wet surface looks like it will work against him based on his profile. At 21.0 in the market, the price reflects a horse with ability who hasn't found a way to translate it into wins lately.
Mid-range in the market (21.0)
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TrackLab Insight
Fouette has the best win rate in this field — winning 1 in every 3 races overall — yet the market has largely dismissed her at odds of 38.0, making her one of the most unfancied horses despite carrying one of the highest ratings. The catch is that today's slightly wet ground is completely unknown territory for her, and her last two runs have been well beaten. An intriguing puzzle: the numbers say she's good, but the recent form says otherwise.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
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TrackLab Insight
Lunario arrives here as the lowest-rated horse in the field by some margin — 11lbs below the field average — and three recent runs have all ended in the back half of the field. His entire winning record has come on faster ground, and he has never won on the wet or standard surfaces he keeps encountering, which makes today's conditions another obstacle. At 40.0, the market has this one right.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
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