Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 3 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The clear market favourite at 3.5 and the standout course specialist in the field — three wins from ten races at Catterick is a remarkable strike for a horse that wins only about 1 in 8 overall. He finished second here just 50 days ago and is the only horse in this field who has already won over this exact course and distance. The form since has been ordinary, but Catterick has a habit of bringing the best out of him.
Course specialist (3 wins from 10 here)Has won over this course and distanceMarket favourite (3.5)
Second in the market at 5.5 but has never won in seven attempts, placing four times without ever crossing the line first — a frustrating pattern that makes this a tough sell at those odds. A decent third at Yarmouth three weeks ago keeps hope alive, but the market has clearly had second thoughts, drifting from a near-certainty price to 5.5 before the off. Of the top three in the weights, this is the one with the least reason for confidence on paper.
Jockey in form (5 wins in 14 days)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Boasts the best record on normal conditions in the field, and jockey Jason Hart is the most in-form rider here with five winners from 23 rides in the last two weeks. Back-to-back placed runs at Ayr and Lingfield suggest this horse is ticking along nicely, and at 6.4 it represents a lively each-way option from the top of the weights.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)Jockey in best form (5 from 23 last 2wk)
Jockey in form (2 wins in 14 days)Trainer in formWon 0 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 6, and the best record over this seven-furlong trip with two wins from eight attempts at the distance. The concern is that those wins have all come on different surfaces and this horse has yet to win on normal ground in four attempts — which is exactly what's on offer today.
Best record at this trip (2 from 8)Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Trainer Quotes
Jun 2025
"If he gets in it would be his first run on turf but I like him and he won his first three on the all-weather. He probably wasn't quite right when beaten on New Year's Day, so we gave him a break and he's on the comeback trail. His work has been nice and I think the stiff seven will suit him. He should handle anything between good to firm and good to soft on turf. 09-06-25"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
One of the more active horses in the field with four career wins and a third and second in its last two runs at Ayr — this horse is running consistently well without winning. The trainer Ruth Carr hasn't had a winner in 21 runners over the last fortnight, which is a concern, but Habrdi's own form gives reason to think it could go close at 6.5.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"He's a new arrival, recently gelded, who had his first race for Mowbray at Doncaster's Lincoln meeting. He was drawn in stall two and was caught wide on the wing, which caused him to run with the choke out. He was gassy and tired after the race, but the run will have done him good. We'll wait to see what the handicapper does, but I've a feeling some good handicaps await this fellow. 09-04-25"
One win from 21 races — roughly 1 in every 21 — and back-to-back eighth-place finishes at Thirsk and Carlisle in the last three weeks. There's nothing in the standout markers or the recent form to make this horse look interesting against these rivals. Hard to make a case.
Trainer in formWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Three consecutive ninth-place finishes make this a difficult horse to back at any price, let alone 19.0. The trainer David O'Meara is in good form with six winners from 24 runners in the last two weeks, but that stable form hasn't rubbed off on this horse recently. Honest data demands honesty here — this one looks out of sorts.
Won at this course & distanceQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won here 3 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
By far the most experienced horse in the field with 74 races — nearly three times the field average — and crucially, one of only two horses today who has already won over this exact course and distance, with three wins from 13 at Catterick. The big downside: rated 8lbs below the field average, raced just three days ago, and finished seventh that day. Fresh legs may be an issue.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldHas won over this course and distanceMost experienced (74 runs, field avg 26)
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Among the more experienced horses in the field with 27 career races, but that experience hasn't translated into results recently — a tenth and ninth in the last two outings, both at this level. The data shows this horse can go well over today's seven-furlong trip, but the current run of form makes it very difficult to recommend at 21.0.
The longest absence in the field by a distance — this horse hasn't raced for 306 days, and the last run was an eighth-place finish beaten over 22 lengths. Returning from such a lengthy break without a win in 11 career races asks a lot of punters, and at 31.0 the market is understandably cool on its chances. Honest assessment: very hard to recommend.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.