Catterick

The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 55 races compared to a field average of 28 — and one of only two runners here who have won over this exact course and distance. His jockey Jason Hart is the best-in-form rider in the field right now, winning 5 from his last 23 races. The big concern is that Glory Fighter has never won on normal ground in 11 attempts, which is a significant flag on a day like today.

The selection of the race preview and the only horse in the field who won here at Catterick recently — just 50 days ago — giving him a clear course edge over his rivals. He carries the lowest weight in the field, 8lbs below the average, which is a meaningful advantage in a race like this. The worry is a 10th-place finish at Pontefract since that Catterick win, though his record on this type of normal ground (the best in the field) suggests this track and conditions genuinely suit him.

Zero wins from eight races, with her last six finishes reading 9th, 9th, 8th, 8th, 9th, 7th — consistently towards the back of the field. She's also racing again just two days after finishing last at Carlisle, and steps up two class levels here, which makes this a very tough ask. Honest assessment: the data gives very little reason for optimism.

A seven-year-old who wins roughly 1 in every 14 races, and his best performances have come on fast, dry ground — but today's normal conditions are an area where he has no wins from nine attempts. He has also never won on a right-handed sharp track like Catterick in five tries, which is a double concern here. A solid placer across his career, but the conditions don't align in his favour today.