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Lucius Aurelius

There is something quietly stubborn about Lucius Aurelius. This four-year-old has lined up 18 times in his career and found the winner's enclosure just once — that is a win rate of around 1 in every 18 races — but he keeps showing up, and this week he finally got his moment.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Zoustar
Mother
Excelette
Trainer
Owner
John Kelly, John McNeill & Kevin Mowatt
Rating
57

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
1
Wins
5.6%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
Pontefract
About 5 furlongs · Slightly soft ground · 10 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That moment came at Catterick Bridge on 22 April 2026, just one day ago, making it his first career win and, for anyone following along, a long time coming. Catterick is a tight, turning track in North Yorkshire that rewards horses who are handy and tough — not a place where gifted loafers tend to thrive. The fact that Lucius Aurelius finally broke through there tells you something about a horse that might be better suited to a scrap than a stroll.

The broader picture, though, is honest rather than flattering. Seven of his races have come at Class 5 level — the bread-and-butter tier of British racing, where horses are competing well below the top end of the sport — and he had not won any of them before this week. His recent form makes for mixed reading too: a win most recently, but before that a string of finishes in the 5th, 9th, 9th, and 10th positions. This is not a horse who has been knocking on the door every week; he has had to be patient.

His most regular partnership has been with jockey Tom Eaves, who has ridden him seven times without a win between them. Interestingly, it appears Eaves was not in the saddle for Wednesday's breakthrough, which adds a small wrinkle to the story. Kevin Ryan, who trains Lucius Aurelius from his yard in Hambleton, North Yorkshire, has had a productive season — 45 winners sent out so far — so the stable clearly knows what it is doing. Sometimes it just takes a horse a little longer to find his feet, or in this case, his track.

One win from 18 races is not a profile that gets the racing world talking. But sport has a way of making the modest feel meaningful, and for everyone connected to Lucius Aurelius, Wednesday at Catterick was exactly that.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Southwell in 5 attempts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
22 Apr
🏆 Won
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
7 Apr
10th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
10 Mar
9th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 12 runners
10 Mar
9th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 12 runners
31 Jan
5th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
16 Oct
6th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
6 Oct
5th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Soft · 12 runners
18 Sep
11th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 18 runners
9 Sep
3rd
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
2 Aug
13th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jack Callan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 10 Mar 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
4 1 win, 2 seconds, 1 third 22 Apr 25%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
3 1 third, 2 other 23 Sep 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
3 3 other 7 Apr 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Aug 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Sep 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Jan 0%