Lucius Aurelius
Lucius Aurelius has the look of a horse still searching for his level. At four years old, he has run 23 times and won just once—back in April at Catterick Bridge, a victory that remains his only success in the past four months. That single win gives him a 1 in 25 win rate overall, and since that April day, he has been placed six times without adding to his tally, suggesting he ran into stiffer competition or simply hasn't quite had the conditions fall his way again.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Owner
John Kelly John Mcneill Kevin Mowatt
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
34.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
Ridden most often by Tom Eaves—seven rides so far, no wins—Lucius Aurelius is trained by Kevin Ryan's Hambleton yard in North Yorkshire, one of the most productive operations in British racing this season with 45 winners already. That pedigree counts for something; Ryan doesn't hold onto horses without cause. Yet the numbers tell a sobering story. In Class 5 races, Lucius Aurelius is winless from seven attempts, and his last six outings have yielded little: 8th, 9th, 8th, 3rd, 10th, and a single win. That run shows scattered form—a occasional show of promise (the 3rd place finish stands out) buried under a lot of disappointment.
What keeps him in training rather than moving on is probably the belief that he belongs somewhere, even if the evidence hasn't quite caught up. One win from 23 races is thin gruel, but he is still young enough and still racing, still getting his chance. Whether he will find another occasion like that April day at Catterick remains an open question.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Pontefract in 5 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Southwell in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Aug
8th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
15 Jul
9th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
29 Jun
8th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
11 Jun
3rd
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
22 May
10th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
22 Apr
🏆 Won
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
7 Apr
10th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
10 Mar
9th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 12 runners
10 Mar
9th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 12 runners
31 Jan
5th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Jack Nicholls(3) Current Jockey
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Catterick Bridge Sharp |
7 |
1 win, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 2 other |
4 Aug |
14.3% |
| Pontefract Undulating |
5 |
5 other |
29 Jun |
0% |
| Southwell Galloping |
5 |
1 second, 1 third, 3 other |
10 Mar |
0% |
| Hamilton Park Sharp |
3 |
1 third, 2 other |
23 Sep |
0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
18 Sep |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
31 Jan |
0% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
2 Aug |
0% |