The market favourite at 4.0, American Bay wins roughly once in 14 races overall, but on fast, dry ground he's a different animal with 2 wins from 7 starts (29%). His recent fifth at Thirsk suggests he's competitive, but he remains a horse that needs perfect conditions to deliver.
Market favourite (4.0)
Trainer Quotes
Aug 2025
"We paid a few quid for him and I like him. It's been a bit trial and error - he ran really well over 6f first time but he's since won well over 5f at Thirsk and ran another great race over that course and distance last week. If the winner had attacked nearer him, I think we'd have beaten him. He'll benefit from another winter on his back - when he strengthens and matures, he'll be a lot better than his handicap mark. 14-08-25"
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this groundWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
Ventura Express is a genuine course specialist with 2 wins from 5 races at Beverley, making him one of the strongest claims here despite a modest career win rate of roughly 1 in 11. He's suited by today's fast, dry ground and comes in fresh after a 53-day rest.
Course specialist (2 wins from 5 here)
Trainer Quotes
Aug 2025
"He's been fantastic for us. He pays his way and is worth his weight in gold. The ideal scenario for him is a stiff 5f with an end-to-end gallop. He just failed last time at Pontefract, where they didn't go much of a pace. 14-08-25"
Shazani arrives with momentum after a win at Doncaster just 12 days ago, backed by two top-three finishes in three weeks. At only 4 years old, he's the least experienced in this field with 23 races, but he's carrying a lighter weight and his recent hot form at Doncaster suggests he's coming right.
Won at this course & distanceDropping in classWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
Squealer is the editorial selection and for good reason: he steps up sharply in class but his profile shows he wins roughly once in four races on good ground (4 wins from 17). The concern is his zero wins from 11 starts on fast, dry ground—exactly what today offers—which directly contradicts his strengths.
Steps up 2 classes
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"His win at York in June meant a lot to us as it's our local course and the owners have an apartment in the old Terry's Chocolate factory, which overlooks the track. He beat Jm Jungle that day and that form looks even better now. The handicapper has got his measure a bit and he's been unlucky with his draws in recent races. He'll go back to York for the final meeting there but he needs quick ground. He won't go to Bahrain this time as he didn't travel well there last year. 01-10-25"
Won at this course & distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Ingleby Archie is one of only two course winners in the field with a win at Beverley in his record, and he's shown recent form with a win at Nottingham 54 days ago. He draws high at 12, which is a disadvantage on a course where the low draws have historically dominated.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Trainer Quotes
Jul 2024
"He won last time out at Redcar - it took me long enough to do it. He's a grand horse who finished second three times in a row. He got beat at 1-8 at Southwell on his comeback in February, but I don't have them tuned up in the winter so much. Hopefully he can come forward from his win as his form last year, when he kept knocking into one, was good. 26-07-24"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 7 times
TrackLab Insight
Castan has won 8 times from 55 races and shows a strong win rate over sprint distances (33%), but his recent form is concerning—sixth place just 12 days ago and ninth before that. He's been kept busy at the lower levels and hasn't yet found a way to win on good ground in this race's conditions.
One of the more successful in the field (8 career wins)
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 5 times
TrackLab Insight
Jojo Rabbit is another course winner at Beverley with a win on his record, and he's been racing regularly here with a fourth-place finish just 16 days ago. He suits good-to-soft ground rather than the firm conditions on offer, which weakens his chances in this race.
Wearing blinkersFresh (70 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Call To Action owns the best record at five furlongs in this field (2 wins from 3 starts), but there's a problem: zero wins from three attempts on fast, dry ground like today. That recent second-place finish at Hamilton suggests he's in good heart, yet the track conditions cut hard against him.
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 7 times
TrackLab Insight
Good Earth is the most experienced runner here with 79 races under his belt and a solid 16% win rate, but his recent form is patchy—an 18-length defeat at York just 33 days ago is a red flag. He struggles on sharp right-handed tracks like Beverley, which is a significant concern.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Loves this ground (40% win rate)Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Holbache boasts the best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 5 races, and critically, he thrives on fast, dry ground with 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)—exactly what we're dealing with today. At 8 years old with 37 races under his belt, he remains unfancied in the market at 26.0 despite genuinely suiting these conditions.
Best record on this ground (2 from 5)Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Infinity Blue has been away for 304 days—longest absence in the field—and only owns 1 win from 21 career races at a 5% win rate. Returning from such a lengthy break with poor form markers across the board, he faces a mountain to climb despite the weight relief.
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 2 timesLoves this ground (29% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Opal Storm is the lowest-rated horse in the field and carries the lightest weight, but she demonstrated Beverley form with a recent win just 24 days ago. Her 27% win rate on fast, dry ground (4 wins from 15) is outstanding, making her a genuine value play despite the big odds at 21.0.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.