The only horse in the field with a five-furlong win and a 75% win rate from four races—that kind of record at age two is genuinely rare and sets him apart completely. He's the market favourite for good reason, though his recent second at Goodwood and the draw in stall 8 are minor considerations in what remains a standout profile.
Only winner at this distance3 straight top-3 finishesMarket favourite (3.35)
Never raced on soft ground and has no wins from three starts, but he's lightly raced and ran a close second at Goodwood just 25 days ago—he's knocking on the door. The shortened odds from 14.0 to 9.0 suggest improving form, though he remains unproven in the winner's circle.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (3 career races)
This is a horse that runs well but can't quite finish the job: three places from his last four races, with two of them decided by the thinnest margins (0.1L at Goodwood, 0.3L at Ascot earlier in his career). He's partnered for the first time here with Ryan Moore, a top jockey, which could make the difference.
Just won at Haydock 15 days ago and has placed in three of four races, but that disastrous 23rd at Ascot two months back is a worry—he was beaten 15 lengths that day. He's rated 96, five points below the field average, and the drift in the odds from 9.0 to 10.5 suggests the market is losing faith.
Won at Hamilton Park two months ago but has since recorded three consecutive fifth-place finishes, including one at Goodwood just 24 days ago. Never raced on soft ground and the form trajectory is moving in the wrong direction despite being rated 94.
The best win rate in the field at 33% (two wins from six races), but his recent form is concerning: eighth at Goodwood 23 days ago was a significant reversal after winning at Epsom 78 days earlier. Never raced on soft ground and is now rated 99—he's still rated, but that last run is a red flag.
Never raced on slightly soft groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Won at Ffos Las 39 days ago but has posted only 17% win rate from six races and hasn't raced on soft ground. The recent 10th at Goodwood, beaten 6.2 lengths, is poor form, and he's drifted slightly in the market—this looks like a yard trying for black-type rather than a confident improver.
The most experienced horse in the field with 11 races under his belt (field average is four), but he's rated 81—ten points below the field average—for good reason: an 18% win rate and recent finishes of fifth and eighth suggest he's outclassed at this level. Never raced on soft ground either.
Never raced on slightly soft groundMost experienced (11 runs, field avg 4)
The editorial selection is a progressive horse who won at Redcar 89 days ago and has placed twice since, but never raced on soft ground and that fifth-place finish at Goodwood 24 days ago is recent form to digest. At 19.5 odds and rated 98, he's 7 points above the field average and offers value if the ground suits him on his York debut.
Won at Cork just 29 days ago after four placed finishes—the breakthrough type who often climbs sharply after that first success. Never raced on soft ground and is a jockey-trainer combination without a recorded win together, but three straight top-three finishes tell their own story about upward momentum.
Never raced on slightly soft ground3 straight top-3 finishes
Four races, four times in the frame, zero wins—she's been beaten by 1.2L, 1.0L, 2.0L, and 1.2L respectively, which suggests she's genuinely close to breaking through but simply hasn't managed it yet. Last ran 59 days ago (longest absence in the field), she's rated 80, and the drift from 34.0 to 75.0 tells you the market isn't convinced she'll finally get it done.
M. P. Sheehy
·
A. Keatley
· 2yo
· 8st 11lb
· OR 77
Form
0.4
Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Won at Nottingham just 23 days ago and is back in action quickly, which suggests confidence from the yard, but she's lightly raced (three starts), rated 77 (14 points below average), and has never raced on soft ground. The 100.0 odds reflect the reality: this is ambitious stepping into a Listed race.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (3 career races)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.