Wearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Top rated by 3 pounds and winning nearly 2 in every 3 races is exceptional at this level, but he's never run on slightly soft ground and has slipped from 3rd at York 28 days ago. James Doyle has a 60% win rate with him—a partnership that could unlock something special if the track suits, though recent form suggests he's been running below his best.
Top rated by 3lbsNever raced on slightly soft groundMarket favourite (4.9)
Stepping up in classWearing hoodWon 2 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Sharp improvement dropping two classes from his usual level, and three straight top-3 finishes give him genuine momentum—but like most of the field, he's never raced on slightly soft ground, which is a significant unknown. His last win at Goodwood came 22 days ago, showing he's in form right now.
Drops 2 classes from usual levelNever raced on slightly soft ground3 straight top-3 finishes
A 3-year-old still finding his feet with a recent Leopardstown win showing he's in form, but his 22% win rate is modest and he's never raced on slightly soft ground. His preference for good ground and 7-10 furlongs suggests this slightly softer, 11-furlong track may not suit him perfectly.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated and winning more than 1 in every 3 races at the highest level is genuinely exceptional, and his 67% record on good-to-soft ground is tailor-made for today. A 50-day break before his Newbury win is only a minor concern given his class pedigree.
2nd highest rated (OR 114)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"We overfaced him a couple of times last season. We had him gelded after a disappointing run in Bahrain and he showed the benefit of that with a decent performance at Newmarket last week. That was the best race he's run in ten months, which was heartening, and Oisin [Murphy] was easy on him when he was beaten, so I'd say there's a lot to look forward to, especially when he gets a bit of give in the ground. We'll look at a Group 2 at Sandown, although he's in the Lockinge as well. 21-04-26"
Fresh (315 days off)Won 2 of last 5Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
An exceptional 67% win rate (2 wins from 3 races) in Class 1 company is eye-catching, but a 315-day absence—the longest in the field—is a major worry after a 184-day gap since racing. At 3 years old, returning from that kind of break against experienced rivals is a significant challenge.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (3 career races)Absent 315 days (longest in field)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"A proper high-class colt who's really starting to work and look well. He's on target for the Guineas, providing the ground is right as he doesn't want it firm. He was going to go straight there but he's further forward than I thought, so he might go to the Craven. If it's obvious he's not going to be quick enough for a Guineas, we've still got plenty of time to go for the Dante or something like that. 31-03-26"
A genuine Class 1 performer with a 36% win rate who has beaten the best before, but his last three runs tell a worrying story—7th and 9th at Ascot and Newbury suggest he may have regressed. His Goodwood third place is his only positive note in recent weeks.
Stepping up in classWearing tongue strapWon 2 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Another 3-year-old with a standout 40% win rate, but his recent form is messy—4th, 3rd, then 6th—and he's dropped 4 classes to run here, suggesting he may be regressing. At 126 pounds with limited experience, he's essentially facing a field of older, proven campaigners.
Drops 4 classes from usual levelNever raced on slightly soft ground
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (97 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
A 97-day absence is a serious concern for a horse with a modest 14% win rate, though his two narrow second-place finishes in Ireland suggest he's capable of better. He's never raced on slightly soft ground and comes from a yard where long gaps can mean rustiness on return.
Stepping up in classWearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in the field at 40% (2 wins from 5 races), and his recent Curragh and Wolverhampton wins show he's in excellent form, but he's dropping 3 classes from his usual level to run here. A 3-year-old at 126 pounds facing 8 experienced rivals is a steep task, though his record says he rarely runs badly.
Drops 3 classes from usual levelBest career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Erratic form makes him hard to trust—he's won once in his last six races but also finished 7th and 6th in those same runs. His 67% win rate on standard ground is eye-catching, but slightly soft is uncharted territory, and his recent Goodwood and Sandown runs look unconvincing.
A racecourse debut at 4 years old in a Group 3 is highly unusual and makes this horse a complete unknown—no prior form exists to assess his ability. The pedigree suggests quality, but racing for the first time in a competitive field is a significant disadvantage.
The editorial verdict suggests he could outrun his 8-pound deficit, and his Class 1 Goodwood win shows he belongs in this company, but his record at York (0 wins from 5) and Ascot (0 wins from 5) is a red flag for this course. A 14% win rate across 22 races tells you he's a battler, not a winner.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.