Windsor
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Rendells Are Hammers Handicap
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Wild Thoughts is the clear market favourite and the form makes it obvious why: three wins in a row in the last three weeks, all on different tracks, which is the hottest streak in this entire field. He shares the joint-best win rate in the race — winning one in every two races across his career — and draws stall four, right in the low-draw sweet spot that Windsor statistics favour. The only question is whether this rapid rise through the grades catches up with him, but right now he is the one everyone else has to beat.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Market favourite (4.1)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The race analysts have singled out Berkshire Boom as their selection despite him carrying the lowest weight, holding the lowest rating in the field, and having been off the track for nearly ten months — the longest absence of any runner here. That win at Chester last year is clearly well-regarded, and his trainer Andrew Balding has won 3 of his last 11 races in good recent form. Everything hinges on whether a long break has dulled or refreshed him — if it's the latter, the low weight could make him very dangerous.
Lowest rated, 3lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Absent 289 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
Abundant arrives on the back of three consecutive places or better — a win and two runner-up finishes — which is a clean and consistent record for such a lightly raced horse. The big concern is a near seven-month absence since that last run; horses can lose fitness and sharpness over that kind of break. He has also never raced on dry ground, so today's conditions add another layer of uncertainty on top of the comeback question.
Never raced on dry ground
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Dartrey is one of only two horses in this field to have won three times in their career, but a glaring issue stands out: all three of those wins came at Southwell, and he has never raced at Windsor before. His most recent run — a fourth in stronger company at Newcastle — was respectable, and his jockey Edward Greatrex has won 4 of his last 7 races, which is excellent recent form. Whether he can transfer his love of Southwell to a new venue is the central question today.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Dumuji won on his very first career race, which puts him ahead of most of this field for raw ability, but he has never raced on dry ground — today's conditions are an unknown quantity for him. His only other run ended in a distant fifth, beaten over nine lengths, which is hard to ignore. With just two races to his name, there is genuine upside here, but also genuine uncertainty.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Four races, four finishes out of the places — Annastarzy is yet to trouble the judge at any point in her career, and the pattern of 6-4-4-4 shows a horse that runs consistently but never quite gets into contention. She raced just ten days ago at Ascot and finished fourth again, so at least she is race-fit, but there is no obvious reason in the data to think today will be different. She is the least successful horse in this field on a pure results basis.
Mid-range in the market (9.5)
TrackLab Insight
The best thing about Brave Hunter's day is his jockey: Silvestre De Sousa has won 6 of his last 14 races — comfortably the best recent form of any rider in this field. The horse itself is yet to win in three races, and draws 12 which sits in the least favourable part of the track at Windsor over this distance. You are essentially betting on the jockey to drag a performance out of a horse that has not shown enough on its own.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Jockey in best form (6 from 14 last 2wk)
TrackLab Insight
Magical Merlot's last run was a fifth at Southwell a month ago, and before that a win at Brighton — so the form has gone slightly the wrong way at the last hurdle. He sits in a mid-draw stall five, which is in the statistically average zone at Windsor and gives him no particular advantage or disadvantage today. With no standout angle to grab hold of, he looks like a horse that needs things to fall right rather than one likely to force the issue.
Mid-range in the market (12.0)
TrackLab Insight
Among the more experienced horses in this field with seven races under his belt, Cashbox has the best record on dry ground of any runner here — though that amounts to just one win from three tries on this type of surface. His last run was a distant 13th at Newmarket, and the market at 26/1 suggests no one expects a quick turnaround. The form before that was much better, so he is hard to write off entirely.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
Akho Mezzna has been placed in four of her five career races, with only one genuinely poor run in the mix — an eighth at Newmarket last time out. She wears cheekpieces today, a piece of headgear designed to sharpen a horse's focus, which sometimes signals a trainer expecting a better run after a disappointing effort. At 26/1 she is a big outsider, but her record at today's distance of a mile — winning one in three over that trip — is quietly solid.
Outsider at 26.0
TrackLab Insight
Two wins from seven races is a decent record, and Midnight Rodeo earned both of them in a purple patch last autumn. He has drawn stall one, the most favourable position on this course over a mile — statistically the single best place to be at Windsor today. The worry is that his last run at Southwell 72 days ago produced a result that has not been made public, which makes it hard to know what shape he is in heading into this.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Ohara won his last race at Pontefract roughly seven months ago, which makes today a comeback after a long absence — always a risk in horse racing. He has drawn stall two, one of the low-number positions that historically performs best at Windsor over this distance. The jockey and trainer have teamed up over 880 times together, so there is a well-oiled partnership at work, but the question is whether seven months off the track has left him short of match sharpness.
Mid-range in the market (12.0)
TrackLab Insight
On paper the top-rated horse in the race by 3lbs, but the market has completely abandoned her at 36/1 — a dramatic drift that suggests those closer to the horse are not confident. She has had just one race in her career, finishing seventh, which gives almost nothing to go on. Draw three is in the favoured low-draw zone at Windsor, but that feels like the only thing working in her favour today.
Top rated by 3lbs
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
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