Uttoxeter

Three races, three placed finishes — this horse has been in the frame every single time it has run, which is a genuinely consistent record even if the win column is empty. It's second-favourite in the market and its odds have actually shortened rather than drifted, suggesting some confidence behind the scenes. The rating is the lowest among the officially rated horses here, sitting 7lbs below top-rated Beau Quali, so it has a real gap to close.

The best career win rate in the field — winning 2 of its 5 races, roughly 1 in every 2 — and both wins came on normal ground conditions, exactly what's on offer today. The catch is that the last two runs were disasters: 11th at Aintree and 18th at Cheltenham, beaten miles on both occasions. Wind surgery has been carried out since, so the question is whether that form collapse has been addressed — the answer will become clear here.

This horse has raced just three times in its life, making it one of the least experienced here, but it won at this very course last time out — a fact that immediately sets it apart from most of its rivals. The 100-day gap before that Uttoxeter win does raise questions about freshness and consistency, and the two runs before it were well beaten. Lightly raced horses can improve quickly, but this one needs to back up that course win to prove it was no fluke.

Four races and no wins is the blunt summary for this seven-year-old, and the form figures don't offer much encouragement — beaten 16 lengths in second last time out, and further back before that. There's nothing in the data to suggest Double Tiger can trouble the better-credentialled horses in this field. Hard to make a case for it at this stage of its career.