Punchestown

One win from 29 races tells you this is a horse that competes without threatening, but a second-place finish at Thurles seven months ago — beaten just 3 lengths — is the most eye-catching piece of recent form in her record. She returns from a five-month break and has never won on normal ground in ten attempts, which is a significant red flag today.

Ten races into her career and still looking for a first win — that is the blunt reality for Walk On Annilog, who has the joint-highest rating in the field but nothing in the win column to justify it. She was beaten 23 lengths at Fairyhouse last month and has form figures of 11-7-6-7-5 in recent races. Carrying top weight in a field of 22, the stats here make for uncomfortable reading.

Thirteen races and still waiting for a first win, Urban War's recent form includes a pulled-up and two results deep in the field. The one bright spot is jockey Darragh O'Keeffe, who has won 4 of his last 10 rides in the past two weeks — the best recent form of any jockey in this race — though that only goes so far when the horse has never won.

Thirty-five races and zero wins — Figurehead is the most winless horse in this field by a wide margin, and his recent form includes a pulled-up and a 16th-place finish. Jockey Danny Mullins partners him for the first time today, but there is a mountain to climb based on everything this horse has shown across a lengthy career.

One win from 19 races makes this one of the more experienced but less successful horses in the field, and her best form has come on slightly softer ground rather than the normal conditions she faces today — she has never won on normal ground in six attempts. Her best stat is at this two-mile trip, where she has won 1 from 4, but recent form of a pulled-up and a sixth suggests she is not at her peak.

Thirteen races without a win, and a 10th-place finish at Cork last month beaten 32 lengths — Ranting And Raven has some placed efforts buried in her record but nothing recent to suggest she can trouble the leaders today. At just four years old she is the youngest horse in the field, but the form to date has been modest.

Only three races into its career, this is the least experienced horse in the field alongside Walk Win, but the form is discouraging — beaten 30, 44, and 60 lengths in those three outings. Crucially, it has never raced on normal ground before today, so we genuinely do not know how it will respond to the conditions.

Four races, four finishes in double figures, and never raced on normal ground — Soldiers Lady arrives with as thin a profile as any horse in this field. Returning after over five months off, there is almost nothing in the data to build a positive case around.

Five races and no wins, with recent finishes of 10th and 13th — Zarushio has yet to race on normal ground and has given little encouragement in the form book so far. At 29-1, the market has him firmly among the outsiders, and the evidence backs that up.

Thirty-three races into his career and Baltinglass Hill has managed just one win, though his record on normal ground is the best angle here — he has won 1 from 13 on it, which sounds modest but is better than most in this field can claim on today's conditions. Two pulled-ups in the last month are a concern, and at nine years old, he is one of the older horses in the race.

Four races, four finishes in the rear, and no win or placing to speak of — Flash The Badge arrives having not raced in nearly six months and having never run on normal ground. There is simply nothing in the form book to suggest a change of fortune today in a 22-runner field.

Eight races and still winless, Scottish Reel was pulled up last time out at Gowran Park six months ago, and that is the most recent piece of evidence we have to work with. At 26-1, the market is not expecting much, and the form gives little reason to argue with that assessment.

The lowest-rated horse in the field, carrying the lightest weight — but nine races without a single win or placing means there is no realistic upside to pin on that weight advantage. She has not raced in nearly six months and her last three runs include two pulled-ups and a 10th, so the outlook is bleak.

Nine years old with only five career races, Sekakarma is one of the least experienced horses in the field for his age — a combination that is hard to make sense of positively. He was pulled up last time and has not raced in over five months, and at 67-1 he is the rank outsider in the field.