Newton Abbot
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Day Before Terry Wheeler's Birthday Mares' Handicap Hurdle
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The one horse in this field who has actually won around Newton Abbot, and she was back here just seven days ago finishing second — so she clearly loves the place and is in top form right now. She is the only course winner in the field and carries the best win rate of any runner here, winning roughly 1 in 12 races. The market has her as favourite and it is hard to argue.
Only course winner (1 from 2 here)
Runs again after just 7 days
Best career win rate in field (1 in 12)
Market favourite (3.5)
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated in this field by 3lbs, but that official rating is doing a lot of heavy lifting after a woeful 11th-place finish at Leicester just 18 days ago — beaten 14 lengths. She wins roughly 1 in 20 races across her career, and those odds drifting sharply from 1.1 suggest punters have already made up their minds about that Leicester effort.
Top rated by 3lbs
TrackLab Insight
The youngest and least experienced horse in the field with just two career races, neither on today's normal ground conditions — so this is genuinely uncharted territory for her. She has been off the track for 91 days and has never won, though she did improve from 9th to 3rd in her two outings, which is at least a step in the right direction. There are too many unknowns to place much confidence here.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Trained by Dan Skelton, who wins roughly 1 in 5 races with jockey Harry Skelton — the most prolific trainer-jockey combination in this field by some distance. She has never raced on normal ground, so today is a new test, but a close second at Uttoxeter just 11 days ago shows she is in decent nick right now.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The oldest horse in the field at eight, and she pulled up last time out at Fontwell 47 days ago, which is a concern going into today. The one bright spot is that she holds the best record of any runner on today's normal ground conditions — winning 1 from 6 on similar ground — but she is carrying the second-lowest weight in the field, which reflects how the handicapper rates her chances.
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)
TrackLab Insight
Six races in and still looking for a first win, with recent finishes of 4th and 5th — beaten 15 lengths on both occasions. She pulled up before that, which is never an encouraging sign, and there is nothing in the data that singles her out as particularly well-suited to today's race. Hard to make a case for her against more interesting rivals.
Mid-range in the market (10.0)
TrackLab Insight
Miss Pearl has been off the track for 385 days — by far the longest absence in this field — and returns with zero wins from 14 career races. The trainer-jockey combination has never won together from 18 races, and she carries the lowest weight in the field, which tells you the handicapper does not rate her highly. Facing a very tough ask on comeback.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Absent 385 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
Ten career races, zero wins, and two recent finishes of 6th and 9th — beaten over 100 lengths at Fakenham nine days ago, which is as bad as it sounds. She is out at 34-to-1 and the recent form gives you very little reason to argue with that price.
Winless from 10 career races
Your pick
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Odds
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Bet type
Win (they finish 1st)
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Your bet
£5
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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