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Blackwater Lilly

Blackwater Lilly is a 6-year-old with a singular moment of glory and a long, patient wait for another. The horse has managed just one win from 25 races — that breakthrough came at Bangor-on-Dee back in May 2025, and nothing has landed in the 15 months since. With eight places to show for the rest of the effort, there is clearly some ability in there, but it is buried deep. The win rate of 4 per cent tells you this is a horse that earns its keep more through consistency than brilliance.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Casamento
Mother
Cuckoo's Calling
Trainer
Owner
Mr Neil King
Rating
48

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
25
Career races
1
Wins
4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
32%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Neil King's Wroughton yard has kept Blackwater Lilly ticking over through a campaign that has seen no recent wins. The horse's last six races tell a familiar story: a fourth, a sixth, two more fourths, and an eleventh. There has been a place in most of those runs, which suggests the horse is competitive enough to land minor money but rarely good enough to finish in front. What is striking is that Blackwater Lilly actually does better over longer distances — it has won one from 15 races at 2 miles and beyond, compared to nothing from seven runs at the higher Class 5 level. The horse seems to need the trip and the room to run, yet even that formula has not clicked in a long time.

Craig Nichol, who has ridden Blackwater Lilly six times, is one of the few to have extracted a win from the horse — a 17 per cent win rate together, which stands out against the overall 4 per cent. That suggests the pairing works, though even that partnership has not produced a winner recently. Blackwater Lilly raced just a day ago and remains active on the circuit, still grinding away for that second win that would at least break the streak and give the yard something to build on.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 16 starts (6%)
Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 7% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Sedgefield in 5 attempts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Jul
4th
Beverley
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
15 Jul
6th
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
26 Jun
4th
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
31 May
4th
Fakenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 4 runners
13 May
4th
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
25 Apr
11th
Leicester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
10 Apr
2nd
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
1 Apr
3rd
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
28 Mar
6th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
10 Mar
4th
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Joshua Thompson
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Shay Farmer(3)
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Sedgefield
Sharp
5 1 second, 2 thirds, 2 other 10 Apr 0%
Beverley
Undulating
2 2 other 28 Jul 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 other 15 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Jan 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 20 Dec 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 15 Jul 0%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 win 17 May 100%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 other 7 Jul 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 second 18 Sep 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
1 1 other 13 May 0%
Cartmel
Tight
1 1 other 26 Jun 0%
Fakenham
Tight
1 1 other 31 May 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Hexham
Undulating
1 1 third 14 Apr 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Mar 0%