The top-rated horse in this field by 3lbs, and his record on normal ground is solid — 2 wins from just 4 races on it. However, that alarming 50-length thrashing at Aintree last month is impossible to ignore, and the editorial note flags a real question about whether he handles left-handed tracks like Newton Abbot. If he takes to the course, he's the one to beat; if not, that huge drift in the market from odds-on tells its own story.
Top rated by 3lbsBest record on this ground (2 from 4)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"Could be a surprise packet. Has developed into a very smart hunter chaser and my daughter Olive has now won seven times on him. His second to Its On The Line in the Champion Hunters' Chase at Punchestown was a top-class piece of form and it's just a shame he doesn't quite stay 3m; 2m6f is probably his best trip. Ran a super race at Ascot on Saturday and we can have a lot of fun with him this season. We had been thinking of the Rising Stars at Wincanton in five days' time but Olive wouldn't have been able to claim off him, so the novice handicap at Ascot two days ago looked more suitable. He shaped there as if 2m3f was on the sharp side so we'll go back up in trip next time. He's ideally suited by a flat, right-handed track. 04-11-25"
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Sent off as market favourite despite a run of four consecutive finishes of fifth or worse, including two sixth-place efforts at the highest level of competition. The data flags a serious concern: zero wins from nine races on left-handed tracks, and Newton Abbot is exactly that. The market confidence is puzzling given that recent form and that specific weakness.
Market favourite (2.63)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"He ran really well on his reappearance in a 3m1f handicap chase at Cheltenham. He travelled into it like he was going to win and I can't say he blew up because we'd done a good bit with him at home, so I have to think he just didn't stay. We'll drop him back in trip next time and I think there could be a good prize heading his way. 10-11-25"
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (67 days off)Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (38% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field at 12 years old, and boasting the best career win rate here — wins roughly 1 in every 4 races across 22 outings. He was a respectable third at Sandown two months ago, which is encouraging, though a 67-day absence at his age is worth noting. The cheekpieces suggest his trainer is trying to sharpen him up, and on his best form he'd be competitive.
Wearing visorQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by some margin — 10lbs below the field average — and his recent form reads like a horse well past his best, beaten 70 lengths at Fakenham just nine days ago. He wins roughly 1 in 10 races across a long career of 30 outings, and his last victory feels a distant memory. On the data available, it's hard to make a case for him here.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2024
"We didn't learn much about him in the Badger Beer. We're not sure whether to aim low or high yet - there's a few ideas, but he's probably due a win and I can see him landing a nice pot this season. 14-11-24"
Nov 2020
"We are now buying nicer young horses and this fellow is typical of that type of individual. Following two encouraging bumper efforts last season he made a winning debut over hurdles this season at Fontwell. He raced very clean and deliberate, which maybe cost him the odd length early on but as he warmed up he became very slick. There is an EBF qualifier at Wincanton coming up that I would like to run him in as it is over 2m which is his trip. If we can get him in the first four then it gives us another string to our bow at the end of the season. I will be minding this fellow this season as it will be when he goes chasing next year he will really start to show his strengths. 11-11-20"
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.