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Viroflay

There is a horse at Paul Nicholls's famous yard in Ditcheat, Somerset, that has quietly turned into something rather special. Viroflay is a nine-year-old with 3 wins from 11 races — that's a win rate of just over 1 in 4, which is solid enough on paper — but the raw numbers don't capture the full picture. What they don't show is that this horse has developed into a genuinely classy hunter chaser, one capable of mixing it with the best horses in that sphere.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Air Chief Marshal
Mother
Red Vixen
Owner
Paul Nicholls & John Bolton
Rating
140

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
11
Career races
3
Wins
27.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
81.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The recent form is the thing that catches the eye. In Viroflay's last six races, the record reads 1-17-2-1-2-2 — that solitary blip aside, this is a horse that has been placing and winning consistently. Two wins from those six runs, and a second place finish behind Its On The Line in the Champion Hunters' Chase at Punchestown sits among them. Nicholls himself describes that as a top-class piece of form, and finishing second in a race of that quality at one of Ireland's great tracks is precisely the kind of run that marks a horse out as well above average at its level.

Kempton Park looks like home. Viroflay has won 2 of 4 races there — that's half of all visits — with the first of those wins coming in April 2025. The horse clearly thrives at the track. The most recent win came at Newton Abbot just this week, adding to a sequence that suggests momentum is very much with the horse right now. Nicholls notes that Viroflay doesn't quite stay three miles, with two and a half miles the sweet spot — and on normal ground, the record is remarkable: 3 wins from just 5 races, a 60% win rate. Keep it dry and keep the trip right and this horse tends to perform.

The partnership with Miss Olive Nicholls, Paul's daughter, adds a family angle that makes this story easy to root for. Together they have 2 wins from 10 races — roughly 1 in 5 — and Nicholls has ridden Viroflay to seven wins in total across all riders. After the Kempton win, Nicholls described the horse as having plenty of speed and loving being out in front, and spoke openly about potential targets including the hunter chase meeting at Cheltenham. With 92 winners sent out from Ditcheat this season alone, this is a yard firing on all cylinders — and Viroflay looks like one of the more entertaining horses to follow through the summer.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 May
🏆 Won
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 4 runners
10 Apr
17th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 30 runners
21 Feb
2nd
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
27 Dec
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
24 Nov
2nd
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
1 Nov
2nd
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 5 runners
2 May
2nd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 14 runners
1 Apr
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
10 Mar
2nd
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
23 Apr
DNF
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 5 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Miss Olive Nicholls Current Jockey
20%
Win rate
2/10
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
4 2 wins, 2 seconds 21 Feb 50%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 10 Mar 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
1 1 win 13 May 100%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Apr 0%
Exeter
Undulating
1 1 second 26 Mar 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 second 2 May 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 second 1 Nov 0%