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Hoe Joly Smoke

There is something quietly compelling about a horse that finds its best self at one particular track, and Hoe Joly Smoke has made Sandown Park his personal hunting ground. The eight-year-old has won 2 from just 3 races there — a remarkable record that puts him in a completely different light to his overall career tally of 2 wins and 10 places from 16 races, which works out at roughly 1 win in every 8 runs. Strip away everywhere else and this horse becomes a specialist, the kind that trainers quietly circle on the calendar each season.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Black Sam Bellamy
Mother
My Miss Lucy
Owner
Babbitt Racing
Rating
128

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
16
Career races
2
Wins
12.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
62.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

He is trained by Dan Skelton at Alcester in Warwickshire, part of one of the most productive yards in the country right now — 194 winners sent out this season alone. His regular partner in the saddle is Harry Skelton, Dan's brother, and together they have won 2 of their 14 races — about 1 in every 7 — which is a solid enough partnership, even if the big occasions have so far proved elusive. In five attempts at Class 1 level, the very top tier of British racing, Hoe Joly Smoke has yet to win, suggesting there is still a ceiling to find.

His most recent win came at Sandown in March 2025, and the trainer was already thinking bigger afterwards. Harry Skelton wanted to head straight to Scotland for the Scottish National, but Dan held firm — knowing the horse likes Sandown, knowing the track suits him, and preferring to come back somewhere familiar rather than risk a long trip to an unknown venue. That kind of patient, track-specific thinking is exactly why Sandown specialists exist.

The puzzle right now is the last six races, all without a win, the most recent just yesterday. His latest run came at Cheltenham over three miles and one furlong, and while he travelled well and looked like a winner for much of it, he faded late on. Dan Skelton's honest read was that the trip was simply too far — the horse looked like he was going to win, had been worked properly at home, but just didn't see it out. The plan now is to drop back in distance, and Skelton has spoken with clear optimism: he believes there is a good prize waiting for this horse at the right trip. If that trip takes him back to Sandown, the stats suggest you should be paying close attention.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 9 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 May
2nd
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 4 runners
17 Apr
6th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners
21 Feb
6th
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
13 Dec
5th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
15 Nov
3rd
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 15 runners
25 Oct
3rd
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
26 Apr
DNF
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 20 runners
8 Mar
🏆 Won
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
28 Dec
5th
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
6 Dec
🏆 Won
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Harry Skelton Current Jockey
14.3%
Win rate
2/14
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Sandown Park
Galloping
3 2 wins, 1 other 26 Apr 66.7%
Chepstow
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 thirds 31 Oct 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
3 2 thirds, 1 other 13 Dec 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 28 Dec 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Feb 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Apr 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
1 1 second 13 May 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 second 18 Oct 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 other 4 Mar 0%