Newbury

Making her racecourse debut in a 16-runner field — the only horse here with no prior form whatsoever, which is a significant ask in a competitive event like this. What she does have is a trainer, Harry Derham, who the editorial team flagged as worth checking out. On debut, in this company, she's an unknown quantity and that uncertainty cuts both ways.

Unusually, this horse runs again just seven days after finishing seventh at Ascot — the shortest turnaround in the field. He does have a solid record at today's distance, winning roughly 1 in every 4 or 5 races at 1m3f-1m4f, and a third at Bath four weeks ago shows he's in reasonable working order. At 23.0 and with a first-time jockey pairing, he's one for closer inspection rather than outright dismissal.

Wears blinkers and has genuinely good form on normal conditions — two wins from three races on this type of ground, the best record in the field in that regard. The concern is that she has never won on a left-handed track like Newbury in seven attempts, and her last run was a tame fifth beaten over 13 lengths. The market has drifted sharply away from her, which is hard to ignore.

One of the least experienced horses in the field with just five races under his belt, and still searching for a first win after finishing eighth last time out at Lingfield. The jockey-trainer combination of Daniel Muscutt and Amanda Perrett has produced zero wins from four races together, which doesn't help his cause. At 29.0, the market is saying something clear.

Has won two from three races on normal ground conditions, the joint-best record in the field in that regard alongside Kimeko Glory — but those wins came in the past, and her last two runs were nines at Goodwood and Newbury, beaten 10 and 16 lengths respectively. She has also never won on a right-handed track like Newbury in six attempts, which is a significant red flag for today.

Has been off the track for 216 days — the longest absence of any horse in this field — which makes him a significant unknown as he returns. His last six runs have produced a string of fourth and fifth places without getting any closer to winning, and there's no clear standout angle that suggests today's conditions suit him particularly well. The jockey-trainer partnership of Lewis Edmunds and Rod Millman is a productive one with 32 wins together, but the layoff is a big ask.

Carries the lowest weight in the field, which is the advantage that comes with being the lowest-rated horse here — 8lbs below the field average. He has the best record at today's exact trip of any horse in the field, with one win from three races at 1m4f, but has never won on a left-handed track like Newbury in five attempts. A pulled-up run two outings ago adds to the uncertainty, though a third last time out suggests he's back in reasonable shape.

The most experienced horse in the field by a wide margin — 39 races compared to a field average of 19 — but that experience hasn't translated to results on normal ground conditions, where he has zero wins from eight attempts. He's also returning from a 171-day absence, and his last three runs produced an eighth, a fifth, and a fifth. The editor shortlisted him, but the data here makes that hard to back up.

Drawn widest of all in stall 16, which at Newbury over 1m4f carries just a 5% win rate from 401 races — the worst draw in the race. He's also one of the lowest-rated horses in the field and has never won on a right-handed track in seven attempts. Two wins in six races at Wolverhampton suggest he has specific preferences that this course simply doesn't match.

One of the bigger outsiders in the field at 36.0, and her recent form backs up that assessment — sixth at Doncaster last time, and a 10th before that. She does have a strong record at today's trip of 1m4f, winning half her races at that distance, but she's never won on normal or fast ground conditions, and Newbury falls into that category today.