Three runner-up finishes in a row make Armstrong one of the more intriguing puzzles in this race — a horse that keeps arriving at the line just behind the winner but cannot quite get over the line first. He has never raced on normal ground like today's conditions, which is an unknown worth flagging in a field full of horses who share that question mark.
Never raced on normal ground3 straight top-3 finishes
The market favourite and the horse with the best win rate in the field, winning roughly 1 in every 2 races — including back-to-back wins in his last two outings. The concern is he has never raced on normal turf, with both his wins coming on artificial surfaces, so today represents a new test for a horse who has been in red-hot form.
Never raced on normal groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 2)Market favourite (5.7)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"I'm very excited by him. He was a big, backward two-year-old but he started to furnish off at the back end of last year. He's wintered really well and won very well at Wolverhampton last time to take his record to 2-2 in handicaps. 29-04-26"
The race's editorial verdict singles out Madjid as having the strongest claims, and it's easy to see why — his second place at Doncaster over this exact distance of 1m 2f just three weeks ago is the most directly relevant recent piece of form in the field. He has never raced on normal turf before, but his Doncaster run suggests he can handle a step up in conditions, and at 6/1 he is the one to beat.
Back-to-back wins in the last seven days is eye-catching form, and Kakirra's win rate of roughly 1 in 3 races is among the best in this field — but racing again just two days after her last victory is a punishing schedule, and she has never raced on normal turf before. She is also the lowest-rated horse in the field, carrying the lightest weight, and is drawn in stall 15 where the record is very poor at this course and distance.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on normal groundRuns again after just 2 days
One win and four places from seven races gives Kalokalo a more solid track record than most in this field, and he has shown a particular liking for this sort of distance, winning roughly 1 in 3 races at 1m 1f to 1m 2f. A close second at Southwell just 20 days ago keeps him in the conversation, though a low draw in stall 3 is the one box that doesn't tick neatly at Newbury.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Four races, four finishes between fourth and fifth — Glenna is consistent in the most frustrating sense, always present but never threatening the front. She has no wins or places from four attempts and nothing in her form suggests today will be different in a competitive 16-runner field.
Seven races, zero wins — but Extraterrestrial has placed five times, including three thirds and a second in his last four outings, making him one of the most consistent horses in the field on paper. The problem is he keeps finishing just behind the winner, and cheekpieces added today suggest the yard are trying to find that missing gear.
Three races and nothing better than fifth to show for it, including a seventh last time out — Brighton View's form figures don't inspire confidence. Despite carrying a relatively competitive rating, the market has pushed him out to 21/1, and he has never raced on normal ground, adding another layer of uncertainty.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Flash Kozo has been competitive in his last two races, finishing third and fourth on artificial surfaces, but he has never raced on normal turf conditions like today and that is a genuine unknown. With just one placed finish from four races and odds of 17/1, he is far from a standout in this field.
Three races into her career and Rossa Raheen has yet to finish in the top three, with a distant 15th on this same Newbury course last month her most recent effort. She has drifted badly in the market and, with no wins or places to her name, she is hard to recommend against a field that contains horses in much better form.
Three races, no wins, no places, and drawn in stall 14 where horses at this course and distance win only 2% of the time — the numbers stack up poorly for La Peregrina. He has never raced on normal turf and has been off the track for 62 days, making him one of the harder horses in the field to assess with confidence.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)
Tough Date showed promise with a second and a third in two of his last four races, but then went backwards with a seventh at Windsor just 11 days ago. He has never raced on normal turf conditions before, so today's surface is uncharted territory, and the quick turnaround adds another question mark.
One win from nine races tells you this horse has been learning the hard way, and an eighth-place finish at Doncaster three weeks ago — the same meeting where Madjid ran second — doesn't boost confidence. Drawn in stall 16, the worst part of the course at this distance where horses win just 2% of the time, he faces an uphill task from the off.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Five races without a win or a place, and a distant 11th last time out at Bath — Grand Pier's recent form makes for difficult reading. At 29/1 the market has written him off, and the trainer and jockey combination has yet to win together in six attempts, which does little to change that picture.
The longest absence in the field — 90 days off the track — combined with no wins or places from three career races makes Virtue Chastity a tough sell at 51/1. She has never raced on normal turf and her form figures of 5-9-5 suggest she is struggling to compete at this level.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)Absent 90 days (longest in field)
A 20th-place finish at this very course three weeks ago is a brutal recent data point for Dijon Gone, who has yet to win or place in three career races. The one mildly interesting angle is she holds the low draw in stall 1, where horses at Newbury over this distance do have a better record — but form this poor makes it hard to get excited.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.