Wearing visorWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite has genuine credentials: he won here just 38 days ago and shows 67% win rate over the 1m6f-2m distances this race sits within. His main risk is the normal ground—he has no wins from three attempts on this type of surface, though a recent win at Killarney suggests he can overcome it.
Best career win rate in the field at 40% (1 in 2.5 races), with a particular edge on soft ground where she wins 67% of races. The normal ground here is a step away from her ideal conditions, and recent form has deteriorated—9th last time at Galway.
Has never raced on normal ground in his career—a genuine unknown at this course's going. His strength lies on soft or heavy surfaces (67% win rate), and a 29-month drought since his last win at Cork in March 2024 signals form problems that normal conditions won't fix.
Quick turnaroundWon 3 of last 5Loves this ground (43% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
In the form of his life—three wins in the last week alone—but that explosive run is built on racing at smaller tracks (Tramore, Sligo, Downpatrick) where he relishes faster ground. Stepping up to Killarney's normal conditions after just eight days rest is a significant leap in difficulty.
A rare horse that finishes in the top three in every race it completes; his 22% win rate masks remarkable consistency across nine races. He won at Killarney 101 days ago and rates high on the figures, but a 54-day absence and a horror 13th-place run at The Curragh last time out raise questions about current fitness.
J. Cleary(5)
·
J. P Fahey
· 5yo
· 9st 10lb
· OR 92
HeadgearForm
9.5
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Loves this ground (50% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Hasn't won since September 2024 and has had six chances to break that duck with nothing to show for it. Best suited by faster ground (50% win rate on good, but zero wins from four on soft), and that normal-ground conditions sit awkwardly between his strengths.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Just won at Ballinrobe 32 days ago and showed decent recent form (two placed finishes in last three), but his 11% career win rate is the second-worst in the field. The normal ground is a problem: he has no wins from four attempts on good, and no wins on yielding from five.
Won at this course & distanceWearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The standout value play: course specialist with 2 wins from 5 at Killarney, carries the lowest weight in the field, and boasts his best record at this exact 1m6f trip (2 wins from 3). His 15% career win rate and recent form are modest, but the conditions and course experience stack in his favour at 13.0 odds.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldCourse specialist (2 wins from 5 here)Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
Wearing blinkersWon 2 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Won at Galway just 20 days ago and shows 67% win rate over the 1m3f-1m4f distances, but this race is 1m6f—stretching him into unknown territory. He has zero wins from six attempts on left-handed galloping tracks, which rules him out at Killarney.
A genuine specialist at Dundalk (unbeaten in three races there) with a strong 26% career win rate, but this is Killarney on normal ground—nowhere near his happy hunting ground. His last three races show form collapse: 16th at Galway after winning at Leopardstown.
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated in the field by 4lbs but the market has drifted him out to 19.5—a telling disconnect that suggests confidence in his rating isn't universal. He won't win at Killarney; his record on left-handed galloping tracks is zero wins from five attempts, a fatal flaw here.
Top rated by 4lbsUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
Won 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Won here 38 days ago and has two consecutive victories in her recent record, but the 13th-place demolition at Galway last time is a red flag. She has no wins from six attempts on good-to-yielding ground, which sits between her strengths and weaknesses at this track's current conditions.
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
One of only two previous course winners here, which counts for something in a competitive field, but her recent form is terrible—beaten by over 26 lengths at Galway just three weeks ago. At 26.0 odds, she is priced for a reason.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.