Sir Jeremy

The horse has found a sweet spot at distances between a mile and three furlongs and a mile and four furlongs, winning 2 of his last 3 races at that trip. That's a 67% win rate over that range, which is genuinely impressive and suggests his trainer Noel Meade knows exactly what he's asking of the horse when he sends him to ground suited to that distance. Meade's yard at Castletown has already sent out 42 winners this season, so there's form running through the stable. Sir Jeremy's last win came at Galway three weeks ago, and he's raced again since — finishing fifth just a day ago — which shows he's in active work and regularly tested.

The frustration, perhaps, is in the partnership with his usual jockey Adam Caffrey, who has ridden him nine times without a win. That's a blank record that stands out against his overall performance, though form can be fickle in these partnerships. Recent races tell a mixed story: a fifth place, then a win, then a fifth again, followed by a more competitive run that's been omitted from the record, another win, and then seventh last time out. That's the kind of up-and-down form you see in a horse who can do the job but isn't reliable week to week. Still, winning twice in his last six races suggests momentum is there when conditions and distance align.