Quick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 4lbs with three straight top-3 finishes, but her 8% win rate (just 1 from 13) shows she's a placing machine rather than a winner. The gamble here is her run after just 3 days—she was second at Roscommon last week and has good ground credentials (1 from 4 on fast turf), yet her pattern is to frame rather than finish first.
Top rated by 4lbsBest record on this ground (1 from 4)3 straight top-3 finishesRuns again after just 3 days
At just 3 years old with only 5 career races, she's the standout: the only course winner here (1 from 2 at Killarney) and boasts the field's best win rate (20%, or 1 from 5 races). However, her last run was 39 days ago and she has zero wins on standard ground, which could be crucial.
Only course winner (1 from 2 here)Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Winless in 8 races but was second at Killarney just 37 days ago, beaten only 3.2 lengths—the same course where Chicago Moon won. At 3 years old with honest placing form (2 from 8), she looks the type to break through eventually, though her recent inconsistency (10th and 6th in two of last four runs) suggests she's not quite ready yet.
Only winning twice in 14 races tells the story, but both victories came on good-to-yielding ground where he's won 1 from 3 (33%)—directly opposite Lady Plimsoll's weakness on standard ground. Recent form is poor (7th and 6th), but the blinkers suggest a bid to sharpen him up for this test.
Winless in 7 races but placed in two of her last three—including a second at Galway just three weeks ago—this 3-year-old shows glimpses of ability that haven't yet translated to victory. She's lighter on experience than most rivals and remains a work in progress, though her recent consistency is encouraging.
M. Sheridan(7)
·
P. Lawlor
· 8yo
· 9st 6lb
· OR 62
HeadgearForm
8.0
Good Value
Wearing visorWon 2 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
This 8-year-old has won 6 from 56 races and landed back-to-back victories at Down Royal and Bellewstown five weeks ago, proof he can still win in modest company. The problem is his most recent run: a heavy 8th at Gowran Park just two weeks ago, raising questions about whether those wins were the real story or a mirage.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
A. Browne-Souza(7)
·
T. J O'Mara
· 6yo
· 9st 4lb
· OR 60
FormTrack
6.8
Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
After 17 races without a win, he finally broke through in October—a sign that something clicked at Navan—but his last three runs read 7-16-5, and that 16th-place effort at Thurles was catastrophic. His win came on soft ground (33% record there), yet this race is on normal ground where he has zero wins from 4 tries.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
At 28 career races, he's the field's most experienced, yet his 4% win rate (1 from 28) is among the worst here. He was only beaten a nose at Bellewstown seven weeks ago but has been nowhere since—8th at Leopardstown last time out—suggesting that near-miss was a flash rather than a return to form.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
At 10 years old with 59 races under his belt, he's the field's oldest and most battle-hardened, yet his recent form is dire: 20th at Galway just three weeks ago was a chastening effort, and he hasn't won in over a year. The drop in class might suit him, but there's no evidence he's got another win left in him.
Carries the field's lowest weight but has yet to win in 7 races, and her recent effort—8th at Sligo just two weeks ago—was well beaten. A 3-year-old still learning the game with modest placing record, she looks the weakest link in a competitive field despite the weight advantage.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.