Kempton

Winless from six races despite finishing in the top three half the time — that's a horse that keeps running well but can't seal the deal. At just six career races, she's the least experienced here, and her recent 9th at Windsor (79 days ago) suggests she's not in top form right now.

Narrowly the highest-rated horse here but with a major red flag: never raced on slow ground and has zero wins from three attempts on standard ground. She's been second in her last race, suggesting ability, but this surface is completely unknown — she's essentially running blind into conditions that might not suit her style at all.

The most experienced horse in the field with 20 races under her belt, but here's the problem: she's never raced on slow ground before, so this conditions completely unproven. Her recent form is mixed — a win three weeks ago followed by a 7th last time out — and she'll be racing blind on a surface that could suit or break her.

The standout here: wins roughly one in every four races, the best win rate in this field. But here's the catch — she's won both her recent victories on fast, dry ground and has never won on standard or good ground, so this slow Kempton surface is completely unproven territory. Drawing 1 puts her in the low-draw zone where winners cluster, which is her only real advantage today.