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Kempton

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Unibet/ebf Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)
Starts in
4h 34min
Speed race on the flat About 1.4 miles Slightly slow all-weather Mid-level race 6 runners £6480 prize E/W: 2 places, 1/4 odds
Polytrack surface
TrackLab's Top Pick
69
Strong chance
Good Value at 43/100
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
20+ Strong pick 12-19 Solid chance 6-11 In the mix Below 6 Outsider How scores work
W. Buick · C. Appleby · 3yo · 9st 11lb
Form Track
69
Good Value
Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Perfect debut winner at Kempton just last week, backed by one of the season's most dominant yards (121 winners already) and the elite jockey-trainer combo of Buick and Appleby (341 wins together). The market favourite at 1.27 has never run on slow ground, but this looks a strong booking from a yard that knows what it's doing.
Never raced on slow ground Lightly raced (1 career races) Market favourite (1.27)
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D. Egan · J. Butler · 3yo · 9st 11lb
Form Track
19
Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced 3-year-old who won at Kempton just last week, showing genuine promise with a win-and-place record from two starts. Odds have drifted sharply to 7.4, but the booking looks solid: course winner among a field where that's rare, and back in action immediately suggests confidence.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
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S. De Sousa · S. & Ed Crisford · 3yo · 9st 4lb
Debut
8.0
First run (debut)
TrackLab Insight
Racecourse debut means no form to assess—pure unknown quantity at 24.0 odds. Pedigree suggests class (by Justify), and the Crisford yard books plenty of winners, but even good breeding doesn't guarantee a first-time runner will take to the track, especially on slow ground.
Racecourse debut
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B. Loughnane · I. Mohammed & Jose Santos · 3yo · 9st 4lb · OR 80
Headgear Form
6.8
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Seven races without a win, though three placed finishes hint at ability—nearest miss was just 0.3L at Newmarket. Never tested on slow ground, hasn't raced for 55 days, and faces jockey-trainer partnership for the first time; too many question marks at 16.5 odds.
Never raced on slow ground
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D. Probert · R. Stephens · 10yo · 9st 11lb
Form Track
0.4
Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Ten-year-old warrior with the best record in the field (2 wins from 27 races, roughly 1 in 14), and crucially has won at this course—most recently at Kempton. However, drifting odds (251.0) and recent form reads as tired: 9th here last time out and struggling to find the winner's circle lately.
Never raced on slow ground Most experienced (27 runs, field avg 7) Best career win rate in field (1 in 14)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2024
"He's run well in many big handicap hurdles, finishing second in a Martin Pipe and third in a Greatwood. He was pulled up in his only chase last season, but he does look like a chaser and we might have another look at that. Otherwise he'll be back into those big handicap hurdles and hopefully it's just a matter of time before he can hit the target in one of them. 22-10-24"
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1 Anchor
M. Ghiani · C. Hobson · 4yo · 9st 11lb
Headgear Form
0.1
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Anchor has yet to win or place from two races and arrives with drifting odds (290.0), a bad sign. Never tested on slow ground before, the 4-year-old faces an uphill task against a field that includes two recent Kempton winners.
Never raced on slow ground Lightly raced (2 career races)
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