Only runner with racecourse experience — finished third on debut at this track 28 days ago, proving he can handle Kempton. Market favourite at 2.76 despite having never raced on slow ground, a risk given today's conditions and the small sample of just one race.
Never raced on slow groundLightly raced (1 career races)Market favourite (2.76)
Racecourse debutant by Not This Time, a sire known for producing fast, precocious 2-year-olds ready to run early. Draws the high number (11), which historically wins only 6% of the time at this course and distance, a significant handicap for an unraced horse.
First-time runner with solid pedigree: sired by Belmont Stakes winner Tiz The Law out of a Smart Strike mare. Lands the favourable low draw (4), which carries a 12% win rate at Kempton over this distance — the best draw bias in the field.
Debutant by sprint sire Night Of Thunder with stamina bloodlines (Medaglia d'Oro dam), suggesting speed over this 7-furlong trip. Gets the best draw possible (1) with a low-draw advantage historically worth 12% at this distance.
Debutant with genuinely strong pedigree: by Group-winning sire Charlatan and out of a Kodiac mare, both indicating class and speed. Gets a low draw (3) which historically favours runners at this track, though the 34.0 odds suggest caution about actual ability.
Racecourse debut with unremarkable pedigree (Starman and Shamardal bloodlines are respectable but not standout). Gets a mid-range draw (7) offering no particular advantage in a field where nearly everything is unknown.
First-timer with strong pedigree: by reliable sire Mehmas out of a Galileo mare, combining both speed and stamina. Draws high (10), which is the poorest draw bias on the track; paired with racecourse inexperience, this is a significant ask.
One race on record resulted in a tenth-place finish, beaten 17.8 lengths at Sandown two months ago. Has never raced on slow ground and carries 36.0 odds, reflecting a yard with a poor win rate (5 wins from 39 races) and a horse that has shown nothing so far.
Never raced on slow groundLightly raced (1 career races)
Racecourse debut with no trial form to guide expectations, and the jockey-trainer combination has won just once from 60 races together. The 71.0 odds reflect serious doubts about this runner's readiness.
Debutant by Group-winning sire Masar with sprinting bloodlines (Exceed And Excel dam) suggesting natural speed. The 67.0 odds and unfavourable draw (5) suggest limited confidence despite the decent pedigree.
Has raced twice and failed to trouble the scorers, finishing sixth and eighth with beatings of 27 and 20 lengths respectively. Returns after 12 days without ever running on slow ground — the worst-case scenario for a horse already struggling to compete.
Never raced on slow groundLightly raced (2 career races)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.