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Kempton

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Starts in
5h 34min
Speed race · horses carry weights to make it fair About 7 furlongs Slightly slow all-weather Standard race 8 runners £6281 prize E/W: 2 places, 1/4 odds
Polytrack surface
TrackLab's Top Pick
29
Strong chance
Good Value at 11/4
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
20+ Strong pick 12-19 Solid chance 6-11 In the mix Below 6 Outsider How scores work
S. De Sousa · I. Furtado · 3yo · 9st 2lb · OR 78
Freshness Form
29
Good Value
Quick turnaround Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Three straight top-3 finishes including a narrow second at Kempton 28 days ago shows real form, and he carries the lightest weight in the field. The risk: he's the lowest-rated horse here and prefers good ground — the slow, wet polytrack is a significant step away from his comfort zone, despite his recent consistency.
Lowest rated, 3lbs below average Carries lowest weight in field 3 straight top-3 finishes
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O. Murphy · A. Balding · 3yo · 9st 5lb · OR 81
C&D Freshness
21
Won at this course & distance Fresh (124 days off) Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the only horse in the field with a proven Kempton 7-furlong win, but he's been off for 124 days — far longer than any rival. His best form comes on good ground, and the softer conditions here are a step into the unknown for a horse returning from a lengthy break.
Has won over this course and distance Absent 124 days (longest in field) Market favourite (3.45)
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R. Ryan · C. Cox · 3yo · 9st 8lb · OR 84
Form
13
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick has form to support it — three straight top-3 finishes — but there are real concerns: he's never raced on slow ground and has won just once in ten outings despite that recent consistency. His best form comes on fast, dry ground over shorter trips; this polytrack in wet conditions is entirely new territory.
Never raced on slow ground 3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Jun 2025
"He's nice and won really well on his debut at Leicester. He should run a good race in thew Windsor Castle. 10-06-25"
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C. Fallon · W. Haggas · 3yo · 9st 5lb · OR 81
Form
12.5
Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Hasn't won in six straight races despite hitting the frame regularly, suggesting form is patchy at best. A recent sixth-place demolition at Newmarket (beaten 22.5 lengths) is concerning, and slow ground has never been tested — the market is right to be sceptical at 17.0.
Never raced on slow ground
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D. Egan · E. Dunlop · 3yo · 9st 8lb · OR 84
Form Distance
11
Won 2 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The pick of the rest according to the market read, with the best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 3 races and a sharp record over this distance (1 from 3). The major unknown: he's never run on slow ground, and a month away since his last outing at Newmarket adds a question mark about freshness.
Never raced on slow ground Best record at this trip (1 from 3) Best career win rate in field (1 in 3) Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
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J. Mitchell · S. & Ed Crisford · 3yo · 9st 7lb · OR 83
Headgear Form
11
Wearing tongue strap Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced with just two starts and zero wins, but the odd thing here is the form line shows 4-4, yet the facts claim a recent win at Redcar — the data is contradictory and raises questions about what's actually happened. Ignore the low odds; slow ground is unknown and a yard with potential can only do so much with a completely inexperienced horse.
Never raced on slow ground Lightly raced (2 career races)
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B. Loughnane · R. Hughes · 3yo · 9st 3lb · OR 79
Headgear Form
6.8
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Based mostly at Wolverhampton with one win from nine races, he was second at that track just 34 days ago but moves to an unfamiliar surface and conditions now. Low rating (3lbs below average) and modest form make him a long shot, though the recent consistency in placing suggests he's competitive at this level.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
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1 Aigeas
M. Paetel(3) · O. Cole · 3yo · 9st 9lb · OR 85
Headgear Freshness
2.2
Wearing tongue strap Quick turnaround Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Back out just a week after finishing ninth at this track, Aigeas carries a decent rating but the market has turned cold on him (drifted to 24.0). One win from four races is respectable for a 3-year-old, but he's inconsistent and slow ground is uncharted territory — the real danger is he might be short of peak fitness after such a quick turnaround.
Runs again after just 7 days Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
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