Kempton
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Polytrack surface
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this the favourite at 3.5, but the case for that is thin — just 1 win from 12 races, and a record of zero wins on the type of surface conditions we have today. Back-to-back fourth-place finishes show consistency without a cutting edge, and the draw in stall 7 offers no particular advantage at this course.
Market favourite (3.5)
TrackLab Insight
The standout course specialist in the field — 3 wins from just 8 races at Kempton, and crucially all three came on today's type of slow surface where he wins 38% of the time. Draws stall 1, which is in the low draw that historically performs best here. Was third last time out at this very track 24 days ago, so he arrives fit and in good heart.
Course specialist (3 wins from 8 here)
Best record on this ground (3 from 8)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The editorial nap, and the recent form makes that understandable — three consecutive top-three finishes at Kempton tell you this horse is in good nick and very comfortable at the track. Draws stall 10, which is one of the higher numbers and historically weaker at this course, but the form here is hard to ignore. The question mark over his most recent run (result not recorded) adds slight uncertainty.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Jul 2025
"He came from Donnacha O'Brien and won nicely first time out at Musselburgh. He then ran pretty respectably at Ascot and the horse who finished second just got chinned in the Britannia. Things didn't work out quite as I wanted them to back at Musselburgh next time, although he still ran well enough. He was too free in first-time blinkers on Monday at Pontefract. 02-07-25"
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field — wins roughly 1 in 4 races — and has been running well lately, finishing third and second in his last two outings. The issue is that his record is built almost entirely at Wolverhampton, where he wins 4 from 6, and today's course is Kempton, where that dominance hasn't translated. Still, form is solid and the draw in stall 8 is manageable.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of course winners in this field, and crucially has run her best races on today's type of slow surface — winning 1 from 5 attempts in those conditions. Three straight runs at Kempton, including two thirds, show she knows her way around this track. The stall 5 draw sits in the mid-range, which offers no disadvantage.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 56 races compared to a field average of 19 — and at 8 years old he knows exactly what he's doing. Three wins at Kempton from 24 attempts shows he's at home here, and a third-place finish 29 days ago suggests he's still running well. Not a horse likely to win, but place money is a realistic outcome.
Most experienced (56 runs, field avg 19)
TrackLab Insight
Has form at this trip, winning 1 from 3 races over a mile, but her last run was a distant sixth at Southwell 57 days ago and the odds have drifted sharply. Before that she finished 18th in a top-level race, so the level of competition has been all over the place. Hard to trust right now.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
TrackLab Insight
Named in the editorial as the main danger to the top pick, and there's something to that — this horse won a Class 2 race at Chester, which is a higher level than most in this field have ever competed at. Was only beaten 1.8 lengths into fourth just 17 days ago, so fitness isn't a concern. The worry is a record of zero wins on dry or normal ground across 12 attempts.
Mid-range in the market (17.0)
TrackLab Insight
Has been off the track for over six months, which is a major red flag for a horse that has never won at Kempton in six attempts and has zero wins on today's type of slow surface across ten tries. Wears a hood, which suggests she can be tricky to handle. Hard to recommend with so much stacked against her.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, sitting 9lbs below the average rating, and the form has been heading in the wrong direction — seventh and eighth in her last two runs. The jockey-trainer partnership has yet to win together from four attempts. Carries the lightest weight in the race, which helps, but needs a significant upturn in form to feature here.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Hasn't raced in 487 days — by far the longest absence in the field — and that alone makes this a very difficult bet. Draws the worst stall in the race at 11, which at this course and distance is the weakest position statistically. There's a win on the board at Newmarket, but asking any horse to return after such a long break and win first time out is a big ask.
Absent 487 days (longest in field)
Your pick
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Odds
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Win (they finish 1st)
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£5
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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