The market favourite and the highest-rated horse in this field, sitting 5lbs above the average, which suggests the form book rates this well ahead of its rivals. Finished fourth at Sandown last time out in stronger company than this, which is exactly the kind of run the editorial team are pointing to as a reason for optimism. No wins yet from four races, but Oisin Murphy in the saddle and a rating advantage over the rest of the field make this the one to beat.
The least experienced horse in the race with just three career races, which cuts both ways — there is still plenty of unexplored potential, but there is also nothing in the record to suggest a win is coming soon. Trained by William Haggas, who with jockey Tom Marquand wins roughly 1 in every 5 races together — the most potent trainer-jockey combination in this field by some distance. The editorial team call this a dark horse, and on 33 races of data between horse and trainer, that feels about right.
Has the best win rate in the entire field — winning roughly 1 in every 5 races — which stands out in a 12-horse field where several rivals have never won at all. Won at Nottingham just over six weeks ago, then ran a respectable fourth at Goodwood three weeks back, beaten only 2.5 lengths, which is a solid recent platform. Drawn widest of the leading contenders in stall 10, which is a slight negative at this course and distance.
Along with Central Command, one of only two horses in this field coming in off a recent win — landing a first career victory at Redcar just 22 days ago. The big concern is that today represents a jump of two class levels from that win, which is a steep ask so quickly, and this horse has never raced on wet ground before. At 10-1, you are backing a horse with genuine recent form but real doubts about whether today's conditions and higher grade will suit.
Steps up 2 classesNever raced on wet ground
Trainer Quotes
May 2026
"He won last week at Redcar on his first run in a handicap. He was very immature last year - his owners Middleham Park Racing were very patient with him and they got their rewards last week. His home work had been good but I wasn't that sure he'd be able to cope with the ground that fast, so it was very pleasing that he won. He looks like he'll stay 1m2f and he'd be a lot happier when there's more juice in the ground too, so hopefully there'll be a bit more to come from him. I'm looking forward to him for the rest of the season. 06-05-26"
Comes here on the back of a win at Newcastle just 21 days ago, making it one of only two horses in this field arriving in form — the other being Ephron. The concern is that it has never raced on wet ground before and has no wins from three races on anything other than fast conditions, so today's muddy surface is a real question mark. Wears a visor and matches Kokoluna for the best win rate in the field at 1 in every 4 races.
The longest absentee in the field by a considerable margin, not having raced for 174 days — nearly six months off. Has had wind surgery during that break, which shows the team have been working to improve it, but returning from that kind of absence into a competitive race on wet ground makes this a significant gamble. The underlying form is actually tidy — placed three times from four career races — but fitness after such a long layoff is the obvious concern.
Sits at the foot of the field on official rating, 3lbs below average, and has never raced on wet ground — so today's conditions are an unknown. Best recent effort was a third in a Class 3 race at Chelmsford, which shows some ability, but that was over two months ago and has been followed by a fourth last time out. Without wet-ground experience and carrying a below-average rating, this faces a tough task against more fancied rivals.
Carries the lowest weight in the race by some margin and is rated 11lbs below the field average — in a handicap that weight allowance gives a physical advantage even if the rating suggests the horse is outclassed on paper. Ran second at Ripon just 14 days ago, beaten 4 lengths, which is decent recent evidence of form, and has been placed in half of its six career races. Has never raced on wet ground, so today's conditions remain untested.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on wet ground
The form figures don't make for comfortable reading — seventh last time out, beaten nearly 97 lengths at Newmarket — but that distance back does suggest something went badly wrong that day rather than telling the full story. Draws the lowest stall in the race, which at this course and distance carries a modest advantage. Has never raced on wet ground, which is a genuine unknown on today's conditions.
The lowest-rated runner among those who have actually won a race, sitting 2lbs below the field average, and the recent form of ninth and sixth tells you confidence is not high. Has been beaten a combined 16 lengths across her last two outings, and the market at 41-1 matches those concerns. Hard to find a compelling reason to fancy this one based on the available data.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Has the most career experience in this field with eight races, but recent form has gone flat — sixth and seventh in the last two outings after a win back in November. Wears cheekpieces and has a solid record at this sort of distance, winning 1 in every 4 races between 1m1f and 1m2f, which is an encouraging stat for today's trip. The odds of 24-1 reflect a horse that needs things to fall right rather than one likely to dominate.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Beaten 24 lengths last time at Chester and drifting out to 41-1 in the market, so this horse is clearly not fancied by those who know it best. Has never raced on wet ground before, adding another layer of uncertainty to an already sketchy recent record. The data here is thin and the signals are not encouraging — hard to make a case for this one.
Never raced on wet groundUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.