The market favourite at 2.88 and the most experienced horse in the field, with two races already under her belt — the others are all making their debut. Her best effort was a narrow second-place finish at Chester just 15 days ago, beaten just half a length, which is a strong form line in a field full of unknowns. The one concern is that she has never raced on wet ground before, and today's conditions are a genuine question mark.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (2 career races)Market favourite (2.88)
The horse the editorial tips at the top of the list, and her purchase price of 450,000 guineas makes her the most expensive horse in the field. Trained by Karl Burke, whose jockey Clifford Lee has built up an impressive 226-win partnership with the yard, she arrives with serious backing in terms of both money spent and stable reputation. She draws in stall 6, right in the low-draw sweet spot where horses at this course and distance perform best.
The editorial singles her out as the biggest threat to the favourite, and at 400,000 guineas paid at a breeze-up sale she is among the most expensive horses in this field. A breeze-up purchase means she has already been put through a public workout to showcase her speed, so the yard have seen something they like before committing that kind of money. Draws wide in stall 11, which is a slight disadvantage on this track, but the price tag and the trainer George Boughey's strong record make her hard to ignore.
The third debutant by the sprinting sire Minzaal in this field alone — alongside Bint Minzaal and Minzelle — which tells you this bloodline is thought to produce quick, ready-to-run youngsters. She sits in the best draw in the race at stall 1, and at 7/1 she is one of the shorter-priced newcomers, suggesting some market confidence. No racecourse form to go on, but the combination of draw and trainer Owen Burrows makes her interesting.
A debut runner by No Nay Never, the same sire as Libertango, who has built a strong reputation for producing fast, precocious two-year-olds that hit the ground running. At 11/1 she is one of the shorter-priced debutants in the field, suggesting some market interest, and her low draw in stall 3 is an asset on this track. Trainer Ed Walker and jockey Kieran Shoemark have combined for 43 wins together, so this is a well-organised partnership.
Her father Sea The Stars is one of the most celebrated racehorses of recent times and a highly sought-after stallion, but it is worth noting his offspring typically excel over longer distances and often need time to develop — a 6-furlong sprint on debut in wet ground may not be the ideal introduction. At 18.5/1 the market is lukewarm, and the mid-draw in stall 7 offers no particular advantage at this course. A horse to watch as she matures rather than one to pin hopes on today.
Another first-timer with no racecourse form to assess, but she has the advantage of coming from Kevin Ryan's yard, which has already fired out 45 winners this season — one of the most in-form stables in the north. She draws low in stall 4, which is the best position on offer at this course and distance. Her odds have drifted to 28/1 though, so the market isn't getting carried away.
Kevin Ryan's second runner in this race alongside stablemate Bint Minzaal, which is worth noting — a trainer rarely sends two to the same race without thinking at least one has a genuine chance. She draws in stall 9, which sits in the middle band where the win rate at this course and distance is slightly lower than low draws. No prior form to go on, and at 29/1 the market isn't treating her as the preferred Ryan runner.
The only horse in the field with racecourse experience besides Jazz Queen, but her sole outing was a tough one — finishing 11th and beaten over 12 lengths at Ascot 14 days ago. She has never raced on wet ground before, and today's conditions add another layer of uncertainty for a horse still finding her feet. At 29/1, the market is not expecting a dramatic turnaround, though a switch to a less competitive race and a low draw in stall 2 at least offers better circumstances.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (1 career races)
A debut runner from Craig Lidster's yard, which has sent out 20 winners this season — a decent level of activity for a smaller northern stable. She draws in stall 5, which is firmly in the low-draw bracket that holds a marginal advantage at this course and distance. At 67/1 she is one of the longest shots in the race, and there is nothing in the data to suggest she can trouble the market leaders.
A complete unknown on debut, but the breeding gives pause — her father Sottsass won the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe in 2019, Europe's most prestigious flat race. That said, the market has brutally drifted her out to 81/1, suggesting little confidence from those in the know. Draw in the middle of the field on a track where low draws have a small edge, so conditions aren't helping either.
A complete unknown on debut, and at 67/1 the joint-longest price in the race alongside Profitability, the market has firmly placed her at the back of the queue. Her trainer Gary Hanmer has no recorded wins with jockey Connor Planas in their single race together, which is a very thin base to work from. There is nothing in the data here to make a case for her against stronger-fancied rivals.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.